Neotion SA (France) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 4.99
| ALNEO Stock | 0.50 0.00 0.00% |
Neotion |
Neotion SA Target Price Odds to finish over 4.99
The tendency of Neotion Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move over 4.99 or more in 90 days |
| 0.50 | 90 days | 4.99 | close to zero percent |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Neotion SA to move over 4.99 or more in 90 days from now is close to zero percent (This Neotion SA probability density function shows the probability of Neotion Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Neotion SA price to stay between its current price of 0.50 and 4.99 at the end of the 90-day period is about 18.91 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Neotion SA has a beta of -0.3. This suggests as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Neotion SA are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Neotion SA is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Neotion SA has an alpha of 0.1838, implying that it can generate a 0.18 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Neotion SA Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Neotion SA
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Neotion SA. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Neotion SA Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Neotion SA is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Neotion SA's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Neotion SA, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Neotion SA within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.18 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.3 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.05 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.01 |
Neotion SA Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Neotion SA for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Neotion SA can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Neotion SA has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock | |
| Neotion SA had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days | |
| The company reported the revenue of 5.57 M. Net Loss for the year was (1.98 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 4.55 M. | |
| Neotion SA has accumulated about 2.71 M in cash with (768 K) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.9, which can makes it an attractive takeover target, given it will continue generating positive cash flow. | |
| Over 85.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies |
Neotion SA Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Neotion Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Neotion SA's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Neotion SA's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 10.2 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 2.7 M |
Neotion SA Technical Analysis
Neotion SA's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Neotion Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Neotion SA. In general, you should focus on analyzing Neotion Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Neotion SA Predictive Forecast Models
Neotion SA's time-series forecasting models is one of many Neotion SA's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Neotion SA's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Neotion SA
Checking the ongoing alerts about Neotion SA for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Neotion SA help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Neotion SA has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock | |
| Neotion SA had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days | |
| The company reported the revenue of 5.57 M. Net Loss for the year was (1.98 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 4.55 M. | |
| Neotion SA has accumulated about 2.71 M in cash with (768 K) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.9, which can makes it an attractive takeover target, given it will continue generating positive cash flow. | |
| Over 85.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies |
Additional Tools for Neotion Stock Analysis
When running Neotion SA's price analysis, check to measure Neotion SA's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Neotion SA is operating at the current time. Most of Neotion SA's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Neotion SA's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Neotion SA's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Neotion SA to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.