Ana Holdings Adr Stock Probability of Future Pink Sheet Price Finishing Under 3.71

ALNPY Stock  USD 3.88  0.09  2.37%   
ANA Holdings' future price is the expected price of ANA Holdings instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of ANA Holdings ADR performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out ANA Holdings Backtesting, ANA Holdings Valuation, ANA Holdings Correlation, ANA Holdings Hype Analysis, ANA Holdings Volatility, ANA Holdings History as well as ANA Holdings Performance.
  
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ANA Holdings Target Price Odds to finish below 3.71

The tendency of ANA Pink Sheet price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to drop to $ 3.71  or more in 90 days
 3.88 90 days 3.71 
nearly 4.71
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of ANA Holdings to drop to $ 3.71  or more in 90 days from now is nearly 4.71 (This ANA Holdings ADR probability density function shows the probability of ANA Pink Sheet to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of ANA Holdings ADR price to stay between $ 3.71  and its current price of $3.88 at the end of the 90-day period is about 24.91 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon ANA Holdings ADR has a beta of -0.4. This suggests as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding ANA Holdings are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, ANA Holdings ADR is likely to outperform the market. Additionally ANA Holdings ADR has an alpha of 0.0386, implying that it can generate a 0.0386 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   ANA Holdings Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for ANA Holdings

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as ANA Holdings ADR. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
1.293.886.47
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.723.315.90
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
1.213.806.38
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
3.613.803.99
Details

ANA Holdings Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. ANA Holdings is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the ANA Holdings' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold ANA Holdings ADR, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of ANA Holdings within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.04
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.4
σ
Overall volatility
0.15
Ir
Information ratio -0.05

ANA Holdings Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of ANA Holdings for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for ANA Holdings ADR can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
ANA Holdings ADR generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
The company reported the revenue of 1.02 T. Net Loss for the year was (143.63 B) with loss before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of (29.09 B).
ANA Holdings ADR has accumulated about 1.03 T in cash with (76.41 B) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 438.46, which can makes it an attractive takeover target, given it will continue generating positive cash flow.

ANA Holdings Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of ANA Pink Sheet often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential ANA Holdings' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. ANA Holdings' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding2.4 B
Cash And Short Term Investments951 B

ANA Holdings Technical Analysis

ANA Holdings' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. ANA Pink Sheet technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of ANA Holdings ADR. In general, you should focus on analyzing ANA Pink Sheet price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

ANA Holdings Predictive Forecast Models

ANA Holdings' time-series forecasting models is one of many ANA Holdings' pink sheet analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary ANA Holdings' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the pink sheet market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about ANA Holdings ADR

Checking the ongoing alerts about ANA Holdings for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for ANA Holdings ADR help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
ANA Holdings ADR generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
The company reported the revenue of 1.02 T. Net Loss for the year was (143.63 B) with loss before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of (29.09 B).
ANA Holdings ADR has accumulated about 1.03 T in cash with (76.41 B) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 438.46, which can makes it an attractive takeover target, given it will continue generating positive cash flow.

Additional Tools for ANA Pink Sheet Analysis

When running ANA Holdings' price analysis, check to measure ANA Holdings' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy ANA Holdings is operating at the current time. Most of ANA Holdings' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of ANA Holdings' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move ANA Holdings' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of ANA Holdings to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.