Facephi Biometria (France) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 1.58
| ALPHI Stock | EUR 1.61 0.02 1.26% |
Facephi |
Facephi Biometria Target Price Odds to finish over 1.58
The tendency of Facephi Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay above € 1.58 in 90 days |
| 1.61 | 90 days | 1.58 | about 86.94 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Facephi Biometria to stay above € 1.58 in 90 days from now is about 86.94 (This Facephi Biometria SA probability density function shows the probability of Facephi Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Facephi Biometria price to stay between € 1.58 and its current price of €1.61 at the end of the 90-day period is about 25.88 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Facephi Biometria has a beta of 0.29. This suggests as returns on the market go up, Facephi Biometria average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Facephi Biometria SA will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Facephi Biometria SA has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Facephi Biometria Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Facephi Biometria
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Facephi Biometria. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Facephi Biometria Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Facephi Biometria is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Facephi Biometria's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Facephi Biometria SA, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Facephi Biometria within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.05 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.29 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.04 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.09 |
Facephi Biometria Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Facephi Biometria for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Facephi Biometria can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Facephi Biometria generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Facephi Biometria may become a speculative penny stock | |
| The company reported the revenue of 13.16 M. Net Loss for the year was (553.9 K) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 13.46 M. | |
| Facephi Biometria SA has accumulated about 6.49 M in cash with (3.6 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.45. | |
| Roughly 25.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders |
Facephi Biometria Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Facephi Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Facephi Biometria's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Facephi Biometria's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 15.2 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 1.4 M |
Facephi Biometria Technical Analysis
Facephi Biometria's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Facephi Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Facephi Biometria SA. In general, you should focus on analyzing Facephi Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Facephi Biometria Predictive Forecast Models
Facephi Biometria's time-series forecasting models is one of many Facephi Biometria's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Facephi Biometria's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Facephi Biometria
Checking the ongoing alerts about Facephi Biometria for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Facephi Biometria help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Facephi Biometria generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Facephi Biometria may become a speculative penny stock | |
| The company reported the revenue of 13.16 M. Net Loss for the year was (553.9 K) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 13.46 M. | |
| Facephi Biometria SA has accumulated about 6.49 M in cash with (3.6 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.45. | |
| Roughly 25.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders |
Additional Tools for Facephi Stock Analysis
When running Facephi Biometria's price analysis, check to measure Facephi Biometria's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Facephi Biometria is operating at the current time. Most of Facephi Biometria's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Facephi Biometria's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Facephi Biometria's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Facephi Biometria to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.