Stradim Espace (France) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 0.29

ALSAS Stock  EUR 5.15  0.75  12.71%   
Stradim Espace's future price is the expected price of Stradim Espace instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Stradim Espace Finances performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Stradim Espace Backtesting, Stradim Espace Valuation, Stradim Espace Correlation, Stradim Espace Hype Analysis, Stradim Espace Volatility, Stradim Espace History as well as Stradim Espace Performance.
  
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Stradim Espace Target Price Odds to finish below 0.29

The tendency of Stradim Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to drop to € 0.29  or more in 90 days
 5.15 90 days 0.29 
near 1
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Stradim Espace to drop to € 0.29  or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Stradim Espace Finances probability density function shows the probability of Stradim Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Stradim Espace Finances price to stay between € 0.29  and its current price of €5.15 at the end of the 90-day period is near 1 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Stradim Espace has a beta of 0.68. This suggests as returns on the market go up, Stradim Espace average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Stradim Espace Finances will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Stradim Espace Finances has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Stradim Espace Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Stradim Espace

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Stradim Espace Finances. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Stradim Espace's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.145.1510.16
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.224.449.45
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
0.295.3010.30
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
4.695.406.11
Details

Stradim Espace Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Stradim Espace is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Stradim Espace's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Stradim Espace Finances, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Stradim Espace within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.11
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.68
σ
Overall volatility
0.22
Ir
Information ratio -0.03

Stradim Espace Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Stradim Espace for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Stradim Espace Finances can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Stradim Espace generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Stradim Espace has high historical volatility and very poor performance
Stradim Espace has high financial leverage indicating that it may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations
Stradim Espace Finances has accumulated about 7.53 M in cash with (6 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 2.19.
Roughly 80.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders

Stradim Espace Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Stradim Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Stradim Espace's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Stradim Espace's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding107.5 M
Cash And Short Term Investments15.6 M

Stradim Espace Technical Analysis

Stradim Espace's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Stradim Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Stradim Espace Finances. In general, you should focus on analyzing Stradim Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Stradim Espace Predictive Forecast Models

Stradim Espace's time-series forecasting models is one of many Stradim Espace's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Stradim Espace's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Stradim Espace Finances

Checking the ongoing alerts about Stradim Espace for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Stradim Espace Finances help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Stradim Espace generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Stradim Espace has high historical volatility and very poor performance
Stradim Espace has high financial leverage indicating that it may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations
Stradim Espace Finances has accumulated about 7.53 M in cash with (6 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 2.19.
Roughly 80.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders

Additional Tools for Stradim Stock Analysis

When running Stradim Espace's price analysis, check to measure Stradim Espace's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Stradim Espace is operating at the current time. Most of Stradim Espace's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Stradim Espace's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Stradim Espace's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Stradim Espace to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.