Archer Multi Cap Fund Probability of Future Mutual Fund Price Finishing Over 15.41

ALSMX Fund  USD 15.57  0.06  0.39%   
Archer Multi's future price is the expected price of Archer Multi instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Archer Multi Cap performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Archer Multi Backtesting, Portfolio Optimization, Archer Multi Correlation, Archer Multi Hype Analysis, Archer Multi Volatility, Archer Multi History as well as Archer Multi Performance.
  
Please specify Archer Multi's target price for which you would like Archer Multi odds to be computed.

Archer Multi Target Price Odds to finish over 15.41

The tendency of Archer Mutual Fund price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to stay above $ 15.41  in 90 days
 15.57 90 days 15.41 
about 6.54
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Archer Multi to stay above $ 15.41  in 90 days from now is about 6.54 (This Archer Multi Cap probability density function shows the probability of Archer Mutual Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Archer Multi Cap price to stay between $ 15.41  and its current price of $15.57 at the end of the 90-day period is under 4.
Assuming the 90 days horizon the mutual fund has the beta coefficient of 1.05 . This suggests Archer Multi Cap market returns are sensitive to returns on the market. As the market goes up or down, Archer Multi is expected to follow. Additionally Archer Multi Cap has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Archer Multi Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Archer Multi

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Archer Multi Cap. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the mutual fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the mutual fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.000.000.84
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.000.000.84
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
14.7615.6016.43
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
14.3315.1115.88
Details

Archer Multi Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Archer Multi is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Archer Multi's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Archer Multi Cap, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Archer Multi within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.02
β
Beta against Dow Jones1.05
σ
Overall volatility
0.45
Ir
Information ratio -0.01

Archer Multi Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Archer Multi for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Archer Multi Cap can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
The fund holds 97.32% of its assets under management (AUM) in equities

Archer Multi Technical Analysis

Archer Multi's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Archer Mutual Fund technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Archer Multi Cap. In general, you should focus on analyzing Archer Mutual Fund price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Archer Multi Predictive Forecast Models

Archer Multi's time-series forecasting models is one of many Archer Multi's mutual fund analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Archer Multi's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the mutual fund market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Archer Multi Cap

Checking the ongoing alerts about Archer Multi for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Archer Multi Cap help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
The fund holds 97.32% of its assets under management (AUM) in equities

Other Information on Investing in Archer Mutual Fund

Archer Multi financial ratios help investors to determine whether Archer Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Archer with respect to the benefits of owning Archer Multi security.
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