Arcadium Lithium Plc Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 8.76
| ALTM Stock | USD 5.32 0.03 0.57% |
Arcadium |
Arcadium Lithium Target Price Odds to finish over 8.76
The tendency of Arcadium Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move over $ 8.76 or more in 90 days |
| 5.32 | 90 days | 8.76 | near 1 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Arcadium Lithium to move over $ 8.76 or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Arcadium Lithium plc probability density function shows the probability of Arcadium Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Arcadium Lithium plc price to stay between its current price of $ 5.32 and $ 8.76 at the end of the 90-day period is about 18.37 .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days the stock has the beta coefficient of 1.06 . This suggests Arcadium Lithium plc market returns are highly reactive to returns on the market. As the market goes up or down, Arcadium Lithium is expected to follow. Moreover Arcadium Lithium plc has an alpha of 1.0779, implying that it can generate a 1.08 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Arcadium Lithium Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Arcadium Lithium
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Arcadium Lithium plc. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Arcadium Lithium's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Arcadium Lithium Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Arcadium Lithium is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Arcadium Lithium's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Arcadium Lithium plc, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Arcadium Lithium within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 1.08 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 1.06 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 1.40 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.17 |
Arcadium Lithium Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Arcadium Lithium for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Arcadium Lithium plc can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Arcadium Lithium plc is way too risky over 90 days horizon | |
| Arcadium Lithium plc appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues | |
| Latest headline from MacroaxisInsider: Disposition of 25744 shares by Barbara Fochtman of Arcadium Lithium at 8.74 subject to Rule 16b-3 |
Arcadium Lithium Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Arcadium Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Arcadium Lithium's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Arcadium Lithium's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 503.3 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 237.6 M |
Arcadium Lithium Technical Analysis
Arcadium Lithium's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Arcadium Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Arcadium Lithium plc. In general, you should focus on analyzing Arcadium Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Arcadium Lithium Predictive Forecast Models
Arcadium Lithium's time-series forecasting models is one of many Arcadium Lithium's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Arcadium Lithium's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Arcadium Lithium plc
Checking the ongoing alerts about Arcadium Lithium for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Arcadium Lithium plc help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Arcadium Lithium plc is way too risky over 90 days horizon | |
| Arcadium Lithium plc appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues | |
| Latest headline from MacroaxisInsider: Disposition of 25744 shares by Barbara Fochtman of Arcadium Lithium at 8.74 subject to Rule 16b-3 |
Check out Arcadium Lithium Backtesting, Arcadium Lithium Valuation, Arcadium Lithium Correlation, Arcadium Lithium Hype Analysis, Arcadium Lithium Volatility, Arcadium Lithium History as well as Arcadium Lithium Performance. You can also try the Top Crypto Exchanges module to search and analyze digital assets across top global cryptocurrency exchanges.
Is Specialty Chemicals space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Arcadium Lithium. If investors know Arcadium will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Arcadium Lithium listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.94) | Earnings Share 0.18 | Revenue Per Share 0.991 | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.04) | Return On Assets 0.0157 |
The market value of Arcadium Lithium plc is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Arcadium that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Arcadium Lithium's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Arcadium Lithium's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Arcadium Lithium's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Arcadium Lithium's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Arcadium Lithium's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Arcadium Lithium is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Arcadium Lithium's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.