Alzinova (Sweden) Odds of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 3.72
| ALZ Stock | SEK 3.72 0.02 0.54% |
Alzinova |
Alzinova Target Price Odds to finish over 3.72
The tendency of Alzinova Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move above the current price in 90 days |
| 3.72 | 90 days | 3.72 | about 44.81 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Alzinova to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 44.81 (This Alzinova AB probability density function shows the probability of Alzinova Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Alzinova has a beta of 0.46. This suggests as returns on the market go up, Alzinova average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Alzinova AB will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Alzinova AB has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Alzinova Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Alzinova
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Alzinova AB. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Alzinova Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Alzinova is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Alzinova's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Alzinova AB, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Alzinova within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.11 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.46 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.23 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.05 |
Alzinova Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Alzinova for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Alzinova AB can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Alzinova AB generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Alzinova AB has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| Net Loss for the year was (7.55 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 17.32 M. | |
| Alzinova generates negative cash flow from operations | |
| About 20.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders |
Alzinova Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Alzinova Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Alzinova's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Alzinova's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 15.7 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 28.8 M |
Alzinova Technical Analysis
Alzinova's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Alzinova Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Alzinova AB. In general, you should focus on analyzing Alzinova Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Alzinova Predictive Forecast Models
Alzinova's time-series forecasting models is one of many Alzinova's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Alzinova's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Alzinova AB
Checking the ongoing alerts about Alzinova for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Alzinova AB help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Alzinova AB generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Alzinova AB has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| Net Loss for the year was (7.55 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 17.32 M. | |
| Alzinova generates negative cash flow from operations | |
| About 20.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders |
Additional Tools for Alzinova Stock Analysis
When running Alzinova's price analysis, check to measure Alzinova's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Alzinova is operating at the current time. Most of Alzinova's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Alzinova's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Alzinova's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Alzinova to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.