Amarin Printing (Thailand) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 3.4

AMARIN Stock  THB 3.50  0.04  1.13%   
Amarin Printing's future price is the expected price of Amarin Printing instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Amarin Printing and performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Amarin Printing Backtesting, Amarin Printing Valuation, Amarin Printing Correlation, Amarin Printing Hype Analysis, Amarin Printing Volatility, Amarin Printing History as well as Amarin Printing Performance.
  
Please specify Amarin Printing's target price for which you would like Amarin Printing odds to be computed.

Amarin Printing Target Price Odds to finish over 3.4

The tendency of Amarin Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to stay above  3.40  in 90 days
 3.50 90 days 3.40 
about 77.34
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Amarin Printing to stay above  3.40  in 90 days from now is about 77.34 (This Amarin Printing and probability density function shows the probability of Amarin Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Amarin Printing price to stay between  3.40  and its current price of 3.5 at the end of the 90-day period is about 6.74 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Amarin Printing and has a beta of -0.24. This suggests as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Amarin Printing are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Amarin Printing and is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Amarin Printing and has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Amarin Printing Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Amarin Printing

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Amarin Printing. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.183.50353.50
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.153.04353.04
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
0.073.36129.20
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
3.383.583.79
Details

Amarin Printing Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Amarin Printing is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Amarin Printing's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Amarin Printing and, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Amarin Printing within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.14
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.24
σ
Overall volatility
0.48
Ir
Information ratio -0.22

Amarin Printing Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Amarin Printing for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Amarin Printing can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Amarin Printing is way too risky over 90 days horizon
Amarin Printing appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues
About 79.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders

Amarin Printing Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Amarin Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Amarin Printing's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Amarin Printing's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding998.3 M

Amarin Printing Technical Analysis

Amarin Printing's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Amarin Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Amarin Printing and. In general, you should focus on analyzing Amarin Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Amarin Printing Predictive Forecast Models

Amarin Printing's time-series forecasting models is one of many Amarin Printing's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Amarin Printing's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Amarin Printing

Checking the ongoing alerts about Amarin Printing for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Amarin Printing help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Amarin Printing is way too risky over 90 days horizon
Amarin Printing appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues
About 79.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders

Other Information on Investing in Amarin Stock

Amarin Printing financial ratios help investors to determine whether Amarin Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Amarin with respect to the benefits of owning Amarin Printing security.