Amata Public (Thailand) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 590.42

AMATA-R Stock  THB 22.70  0.00  0.00%   
Amata Public's future price is the expected price of Amata Public instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Amata Public performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Amata Public Backtesting, Amata Public Valuation, Amata Public Correlation, Amata Public Hype Analysis, Amata Public Volatility, Amata Public History as well as Amata Public Performance.
  
Please specify Amata Public's target price for which you would like Amata Public odds to be computed.

Amata Public Target Price Odds to finish over 590.42

The tendency of Amata Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move over  590.42  or more in 90 days
 22.70 90 days 590.42 
close to zero percent
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Amata Public to move over  590.42  or more in 90 days from now is close to zero percent (This Amata Public probability density function shows the probability of Amata Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Amata Public price to stay between its current price of  22.70  and  590.42  at the end of the 90-day period is about 44.89 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the stock has the beta coefficient of 19.2 . This suggests as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, Amata Public will likely underperform. In addition to that Amata Public has an alpha of 13.046, implying that it can generate a 13.05 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Amata Public Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Amata Public

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Amata Public. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
1.1422.702,293
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
1.1122.252,292
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
0.4522.48153.54
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
22.7022.7022.70
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Amata Public. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Amata Public's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Amata Public's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Amata Public.

Amata Public Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Amata Public is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Amata Public's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Amata Public, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Amata Public within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
13.05
β
Beta against Dow Jones19.20
σ
Overall volatility
2.96
Ir
Information ratio 0.12

Amata Public Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Amata Public for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Amata Public can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Amata Public is way too risky over 90 days horizon
Amata Public appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues

Amata Public Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Amata Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Amata Public's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Amata Public's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding1.1 B

Amata Public Technical Analysis

Amata Public's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Amata Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Amata Public. In general, you should focus on analyzing Amata Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Amata Public Predictive Forecast Models

Amata Public's time-series forecasting models is one of many Amata Public's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Amata Public's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Amata Public

Checking the ongoing alerts about Amata Public for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Amata Public help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Amata Public is way too risky over 90 days horizon
Amata Public appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues

Additional Tools for Amata Stock Analysis

When running Amata Public's price analysis, check to measure Amata Public's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Amata Public is operating at the current time. Most of Amata Public's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Amata Public's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Amata Public's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Amata Public to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.