Amata Public (Thailand) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 1.53
| AMATA Stock | THB 30.50 1.50 5.17% |
Amata |
Amata Public Target Price Odds to finish below 1.53
The tendency of Amata Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to 1.53 or more in 90 days |
| 30.50 | 90 days | 1.53 | near 1 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Amata Public to drop to 1.53 or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Amata Public probability density function shows the probability of Amata Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Amata Public price to stay between 1.53 and its current price of 30.5 at the end of the 90-day period is about 89.01 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Amata Public has a beta of -0.0222. This suggests as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Amata Public are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Amata Public is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Amata Public has an alpha of 0.6093, implying that it can generate a 0.61 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Amata Public Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Amata Public
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Amata Public. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Amata Public Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Amata Public is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Amata Public's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Amata Public, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Amata Public within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.61 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.02 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 4.17 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.22 |
Amata Public Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Amata Public for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Amata Public can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Amata Public is way too risky over 90 days horizon | |
| Amata Public appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues | |
| Amata Public has accumulated 10.5 Billion in debt which can lead to volatile earnings | |
| About 31.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders |
Amata Public Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Amata Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Amata Public's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Amata Public's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 1.1 B |
Amata Public Technical Analysis
Amata Public's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Amata Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Amata Public. In general, you should focus on analyzing Amata Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Amata Public Predictive Forecast Models
Amata Public's time-series forecasting models is one of many Amata Public's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Amata Public's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Amata Public
Checking the ongoing alerts about Amata Public for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Amata Public help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Amata Public is way too risky over 90 days horizon | |
| Amata Public appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues | |
| Amata Public has accumulated 10.5 Billion in debt which can lead to volatile earnings | |
| About 31.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders |
Other Information on Investing in Amata Stock
Amata Public financial ratios help investors to determine whether Amata Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Amata with respect to the benefits of owning Amata Public security.