Ambea AB (Sweden) Odds of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 93.8
| AMBEA Stock | SEK 93.80 0.60 0.64% |
Ambea |
Ambea AB Target Price Odds to finish below 93.8
The tendency of Ambea Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move below current price in 90 days |
| 93.80 | 90 days | 93.80 | about 84.08 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Ambea AB to move below current price in 90 days from now is about 84.08 (This Ambea AB probability density function shows the probability of Ambea Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the stock has the beta coefficient of 1.17 . This suggests as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, Ambea AB will likely underperform. Additionally Ambea AB has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Ambea AB Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Ambea AB
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Ambea AB. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Ambea AB Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Ambea AB is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Ambea AB's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Ambea AB, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Ambea AB within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.02 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 1.17 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 2.75 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.0003 |
Ambea AB Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Ambea AB for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Ambea AB can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Ambea AB has accumulated 7.49 B in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 2.23, implying the company greatly relies on financing operations through barrowing. Ambea AB has a current ratio of 0.36, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Ambea AB until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Ambea AB's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Ambea AB sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Ambea to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Ambea AB's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity. | |
| About 29.0% of Ambea AB shares are held by company insiders |
Ambea AB Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Ambea Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Ambea AB's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Ambea AB's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 94.6 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 86 M |
Ambea AB Technical Analysis
Ambea AB's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Ambea Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Ambea AB. In general, you should focus on analyzing Ambea Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Ambea AB Predictive Forecast Models
Ambea AB's time-series forecasting models is one of many Ambea AB's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Ambea AB's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Ambea AB
Checking the ongoing alerts about Ambea AB for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Ambea AB help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Ambea AB has accumulated 7.49 B in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 2.23, implying the company greatly relies on financing operations through barrowing. Ambea AB has a current ratio of 0.36, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Ambea AB until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Ambea AB's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Ambea AB sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Ambea to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Ambea AB's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity. | |
| About 29.0% of Ambea AB shares are held by company insiders |
Additional Tools for Ambea Stock Analysis
When running Ambea AB's price analysis, check to measure Ambea AB's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Ambea AB is operating at the current time. Most of Ambea AB's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Ambea AB's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Ambea AB's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Ambea AB to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.