American Eagle Gold Stock Probability of Future Pink Sheet Price Finishing Over 0.67
| AMEGF Stock | 0.67 0.05 6.94% |
American |
American Eagle Target Price Odds to finish over 0.67
The tendency of American Pink Sheet price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move above the current price in 90 days |
| 0.67 | 90 days | 0.67 | nearly 4.53 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of American Eagle to move above the current price in 90 days from now is nearly 4.53 (This American Eagle Gold probability density function shows the probability of American Pink Sheet to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days horizon the pink sheet has the beta coefficient of 1.32 . This suggests as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, American Eagle will likely underperform. Moreover American Eagle Gold has an alpha of 1.1221, implying that it can generate a 1.12 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). American Eagle Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for American Eagle
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as American Eagle Gold. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.American Eagle Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. American Eagle is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the American Eagle's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold American Eagle Gold, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of American Eagle within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 1.12 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 1.32 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.13 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.17 |
American Eagle Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of American Eagle for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for American Eagle Gold can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| American Eagle Gold is way too risky over 90 days horizon | |
| American Eagle Gold has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock | |
| American Eagle Gold appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues | |
| American Eagle Gold has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| Net Loss for the year was (3.75 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 0. | |
| American Eagle generates negative cash flow from operations | |
| About 22.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders |
American Eagle Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of American Pink Sheet often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential American Eagle's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. American Eagle's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 69.7 M |
American Eagle Technical Analysis
American Eagle's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. American Pink Sheet technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of American Eagle Gold. In general, you should focus on analyzing American Pink Sheet price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
American Eagle Predictive Forecast Models
American Eagle's time-series forecasting models is one of many American Eagle's pink sheet analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary American Eagle's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the pink sheet market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about American Eagle Gold
Checking the ongoing alerts about American Eagle for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for American Eagle Gold help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| American Eagle Gold is way too risky over 90 days horizon | |
| American Eagle Gold has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock | |
| American Eagle Gold appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues | |
| American Eagle Gold has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| Net Loss for the year was (3.75 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 0. | |
| American Eagle generates negative cash flow from operations | |
| About 22.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders |
Other Information on Investing in American Pink Sheet
American Eagle financial ratios help investors to determine whether American Pink Sheet is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in American with respect to the benefits of owning American Eagle security.