Ateliers Mecaniques (Indonesia) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 140.0
| AMIN Stock | IDR 147.00 4.00 2.80% |
Ateliers |
Ateliers Mecaniques Target Price Odds to finish over 140.0
The tendency of Ateliers Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay above 140.00 in 90 days |
| 147.00 | 90 days | 140.00 | about 98.0 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Ateliers Mecaniques to stay above 140.00 in 90 days from now is about 98.0 (This Ateliers Mecaniques DIndonesie probability density function shows the probability of Ateliers Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Ateliers Mecaniques price to stay between 140.00 and its current price of 147.0 at the end of the 90-day period is about 38.37 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Ateliers Mecaniques DIndonesie has a beta of -0.14. This suggests as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Ateliers Mecaniques are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Ateliers Mecaniques DIndonesie is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Ateliers Mecaniques DIndonesie has an alpha of 9.0E-4, implying that it can generate a 9.39E-4 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Ateliers Mecaniques Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Ateliers Mecaniques
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Ateliers Mecaniques. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Ateliers Mecaniques Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Ateliers Mecaniques is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Ateliers Mecaniques' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Ateliers Mecaniques DIndonesie, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Ateliers Mecaniques within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.0009 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.14 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 3.71 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.05 |
Ateliers Mecaniques Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Ateliers Mecaniques for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Ateliers Mecaniques can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Ateliers Mecaniques generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| About 80.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders |
Ateliers Mecaniques Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Ateliers Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Ateliers Mecaniques' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Ateliers Mecaniques' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 1.1 B | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 6.8 B |
Ateliers Mecaniques Technical Analysis
Ateliers Mecaniques' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Ateliers Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Ateliers Mecaniques DIndonesie. In general, you should focus on analyzing Ateliers Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Ateliers Mecaniques Predictive Forecast Models
Ateliers Mecaniques' time-series forecasting models is one of many Ateliers Mecaniques' stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Ateliers Mecaniques' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Ateliers Mecaniques
Checking the ongoing alerts about Ateliers Mecaniques for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Ateliers Mecaniques help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Ateliers Mecaniques generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| About 80.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders |
Other Information on Investing in Ateliers Stock
Ateliers Mecaniques financial ratios help investors to determine whether Ateliers Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Ateliers with respect to the benefits of owning Ateliers Mecaniques security.