Amkor Technology (Germany) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 22.8
| AMK Stock | EUR 23.90 0.03 0.13% |
Amkor |
Amkor Technology Target Price Odds to finish below 22.8
The tendency of Amkor Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to € 22.80 or more in 90 days |
| 23.90 | 90 days | 22.80 | near 1 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Amkor Technology to drop to € 22.80 or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Amkor Technology probability density function shows the probability of Amkor Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Amkor Technology price to stay between € 22.80 and its current price of €23.9 at the end of the 90-day period is under 4.
Assuming the 90 days horizon Amkor Technology has a beta of 0.42. This suggests as returns on the market go up, Amkor Technology average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Amkor Technology will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Amkor Technology has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Amkor Technology Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Amkor Technology
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Amkor Technology. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Amkor Technology Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Amkor Technology is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Amkor Technology's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Amkor Technology, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Amkor Technology within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.37 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.42 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 1.71 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.19 |
Amkor Technology Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Amkor Technology for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Amkor Technology can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Amkor Technology generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Amkor Technology has accumulated €1.09 Billion in debt which can lead to volatile earnings | |
| About 60.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders |
Amkor Technology Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Amkor Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Amkor Technology's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Amkor Technology's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 245.1 M |
Amkor Technology Technical Analysis
Amkor Technology's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Amkor Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Amkor Technology. In general, you should focus on analyzing Amkor Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Amkor Technology Predictive Forecast Models
Amkor Technology's time-series forecasting models is one of many Amkor Technology's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Amkor Technology's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Amkor Technology
Checking the ongoing alerts about Amkor Technology for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Amkor Technology help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Amkor Technology generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Amkor Technology has accumulated €1.09 Billion in debt which can lead to volatile earnings | |
| About 60.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders |
Additional Information and Resources on Investing in Amkor Stock
When determining whether Amkor Technology is a strong investment it is important to analyze Amkor Technology's competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact Amkor Technology's future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding Amkor Stock, refer to the following important reports:Check out Amkor Technology Backtesting, Amkor Technology Valuation, Amkor Technology Correlation, Amkor Technology Hype Analysis, Amkor Technology Volatility, Amkor Technology History as well as Amkor Technology Performance. For more detail on how to invest in Amkor Stock please use our How to Invest in Amkor Technology guide.You can also try the Alpha Finder module to use alpha and beta coefficients to find investment opportunities after accounting for the risk.