American Leisure Holdings Stock Probability of Future Pink Sheet Price Finishing Under 1.4E-4
| AMLH Stock | USD 0.0001 0.0001 50.00% |
American |
American Leisure Target Price Odds to finish below 1.4E-4
The tendency of American Pink Sheet price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay under $ 0.0001 after 90 days |
| 0.0001 | 90 days | 0.0001 | about 47.23 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of American Leisure to stay under $ 0.0001 after 90 days from now is about 47.23 (This American Leisure Holdings probability density function shows the probability of American Pink Sheet to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of American Leisure Holdings price to stay between its current price of $ 0.0001 and $ 0.0001 at the end of the 90-day period is about 24.5 .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days American Leisure Holdings has a beta of -5.0. This suggests as returns on its benchmark rise, returns on holding American Leisure Holdings are expected to decrease by similarly larger amounts. On the other hand, during market turmoils, American Leisure is expected to outperform its benchmark. In addition to that American Leisure Holdings has an alpha of 8.6482, implying that it can generate a 8.65 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). American Leisure Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for American Leisure
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as American Leisure Holdings. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.American Leisure Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. American Leisure is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the American Leisure's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold American Leisure Holdings, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of American Leisure within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 8.65 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -5 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.000059 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.17 |
American Leisure Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of American Leisure for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for American Leisure Holdings can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| American Leisure is way too risky over 90 days horizon | |
| American Leisure has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock | |
| American Leisure appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues | |
| American Leisure has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| American Leisure Holdings currently holds 136.03 M in liabilities. American Leisure Holdings has a current ratio of 0.29, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations when due. Debt can assist American Leisure until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, American Leisure's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like American Leisure Holdings sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for American to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about American Leisure's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity. | |
| The entity reported the previous year's revenue of 25.76 M. Net Loss for the year was (180 K) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 5.79 M. | |
| American Leisure Holdings currently holds about 6.31 M in cash with (36.25 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.58, which can makes it an attractive takeover target, given it will continue generating positive cash flow. |
American Leisure Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of American Pink Sheet often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential American Leisure's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. American Leisure's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Dividend Yield | 0.04 |
American Leisure Technical Analysis
American Leisure's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. American Pink Sheet technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of American Leisure Holdings. In general, you should focus on analyzing American Pink Sheet price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
American Leisure Predictive Forecast Models
American Leisure's time-series forecasting models is one of many American Leisure's pink sheet analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary American Leisure's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the pink sheet market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about American Leisure Holdings
Checking the ongoing alerts about American Leisure for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for American Leisure Holdings help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| American Leisure is way too risky over 90 days horizon | |
| American Leisure has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock | |
| American Leisure appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues | |
| American Leisure has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| American Leisure Holdings currently holds 136.03 M in liabilities. American Leisure Holdings has a current ratio of 0.29, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations when due. Debt can assist American Leisure until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, American Leisure's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like American Leisure Holdings sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for American to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about American Leisure's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity. | |
| The entity reported the previous year's revenue of 25.76 M. Net Loss for the year was (180 K) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 5.79 M. | |
| American Leisure Holdings currently holds about 6.31 M in cash with (36.25 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.58, which can makes it an attractive takeover target, given it will continue generating positive cash flow. |
Other Information on Investing in American Pink Sheet
American Leisure financial ratios help investors to determine whether American Pink Sheet is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in American with respect to the benefits of owning American Leisure security.