Amn Healthcare Services Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 60.97

AMN Stock  USD 26.87  0.16  0.59%   
AMN Healthcare's implied volatility is one of the determining factors in the pricing options written on AMN Healthcare Services. Implied volatility approximates the future value of AMN Healthcare based on the option's current value. Options with high implied volatility have higher premiums and can be used to hedge the downside of investing in AMN Healthcare Services over a specific time period. For example, AMN Option Call 20-12-2024 25 is a CALL option contract on AMN Healthcare's common stock with a strick price of 25.0 expiring on 2024-12-20. The contract was last traded on 2024-12-10 at 14:13:10 for $2.8 and, as of today, has 9 days remaining before the expiration. The option is currently trading at an ask price of $0.0. The implied volatility as of the 11th of December 2024 is 9.0. View All AMN options

Closest to current price AMN long CALL Option Payoff at Expiration

AMN Healthcare's future price is the expected price of AMN Healthcare instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of AMN Healthcare Services performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out AMN Healthcare Backtesting, AMN Healthcare Valuation, AMN Healthcare Correlation, AMN Healthcare Hype Analysis, AMN Healthcare Volatility, AMN Healthcare History as well as AMN Healthcare Performance.
  
At this time, AMN Healthcare's Price Book Value Ratio is very stable compared to the past year. As of the 11th of December 2024, Price To Book Ratio is likely to grow to 6.64, while Price To Sales Ratio is likely to drop 0.74. Please specify AMN Healthcare's target price for which you would like AMN Healthcare odds to be computed.

AMN Healthcare Target Price Odds to finish over 60.97

The tendency of AMN Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move over $ 60.97  or more in 90 days
 26.87 90 days 60.97 
near 1
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of AMN Healthcare to move over $ 60.97  or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This AMN Healthcare Services probability density function shows the probability of AMN Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of AMN Healthcare Services price to stay between its current price of $ 26.87  and $ 60.97  at the end of the 90-day period is about 89.62 .
Considering the 90-day investment horizon AMN Healthcare has a beta of 0.92. This suggests AMN Healthcare Services market returns are highly reactive to returns on the market. As the market goes up or down, AMN Healthcare is expected to follow. Additionally AMN Healthcare Services has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   AMN Healthcare Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for AMN Healthcare

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as AMN Healthcare Services. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
21.9526.9431.93
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
24.3345.4850.47
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
26.9931.9836.97
Details
9 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
95.70105.17116.74
Details

AMN Healthcare Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. AMN Healthcare is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the AMN Healthcare's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold AMN Healthcare Services, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of AMN Healthcare within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.77
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.92
σ
Overall volatility
7.52
Ir
Information ratio -0.16

AMN Healthcare Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of AMN Healthcare for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for AMN Healthcare Services can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
AMN Healthcare generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
AMN Healthcare has high historical volatility and very poor performance
AMN Healthcare is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years
Over 99.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies
Latest headline from news.google.com: Weiss Asset Management LP Buys Shares of 236,508 AMN Healthcare Services, Inc. - MarketBeat

AMN Healthcare Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of AMN Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential AMN Healthcare's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. AMN Healthcare's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding39.3 M
Cash And Short Term Investments32.9 M

AMN Healthcare Technical Analysis

AMN Healthcare's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. AMN Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of AMN Healthcare Services. In general, you should focus on analyzing AMN Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

AMN Healthcare Predictive Forecast Models

AMN Healthcare's time-series forecasting models is one of many AMN Healthcare's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary AMN Healthcare's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about AMN Healthcare Services

Checking the ongoing alerts about AMN Healthcare for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for AMN Healthcare Services help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
AMN Healthcare generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
AMN Healthcare has high historical volatility and very poor performance
AMN Healthcare is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years
Over 99.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies
Latest headline from news.google.com: Weiss Asset Management LP Buys Shares of 236,508 AMN Healthcare Services, Inc. - MarketBeat
When determining whether AMN Healthcare Services offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of AMN Healthcare's financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Amn Healthcare Services Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Amn Healthcare Services Stock:
Is Health Care Providers & Services space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of AMN Healthcare. If investors know AMN will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about AMN Healthcare listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
(0.87)
Earnings Share
1.43
Revenue Per Share
80.434
Quarterly Revenue Growth
(0.19)
Return On Assets
0.0315
The market value of AMN Healthcare Services is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of AMN that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of AMN Healthcare's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is AMN Healthcare's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because AMN Healthcare's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect AMN Healthcare's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between AMN Healthcare's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if AMN Healthcare is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, AMN Healthcare's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.