American Sierra Gold Stock Probability of Future Pink Sheet Price Finishing Under 0.003875

AMNP Stock  USD 0  0  33.33%   
American Sierra's future price is the expected price of American Sierra instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of American Sierra Gold performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out American Sierra Backtesting, American Sierra Valuation, American Sierra Correlation, American Sierra Hype Analysis, American Sierra Volatility, American Sierra History as well as American Sierra Performance.
  
Please specify American Sierra's target price for which you would like American Sierra odds to be computed.

American Sierra Target Price Odds to finish below 0.003875

The tendency of American Pink Sheet price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to drop to $ 0  or more in 90 days
 0 90 days 0 
about 11.75
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of American Sierra to drop to $ 0  or more in 90 days from now is about 11.75 (This American Sierra Gold probability density function shows the probability of American Pink Sheet to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of American Sierra Gold price to stay between $ 0  and its current price of $0.004 at the end of the 90-day period is roughly 2.42 .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days American Sierra Gold has a beta of -0.66. This suggests as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding American Sierra are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, American Sierra Gold is likely to outperform the market. Additionally American Sierra Gold has an alpha of 0.6682, implying that it can generate a 0.67 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   American Sierra Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for American Sierra

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as American Sierra Gold. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.00016.11
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.00016.11
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
0.000084016.12
Details

American Sierra Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. American Sierra is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the American Sierra's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold American Sierra Gold, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of American Sierra within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.67
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.66
σ
Overall volatility
0
Ir
Information ratio 0.03

American Sierra Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of American Sierra for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for American Sierra Gold can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
American Sierra Gold had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days
American Sierra Gold has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock
Net Loss for the year was (970.16 K) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 22 K.
American Sierra Gold currently holds about 482 K in cash with (175.81 K) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.01, which can makes it an attractive takeover target, given it will continue generating positive cash flow.

American Sierra Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of American Pink Sheet often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential American Sierra's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. American Sierra's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding6.4 M
Short Long Term Debt3771.00
Cash And Short Term Investments199.00

American Sierra Technical Analysis

American Sierra's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. American Pink Sheet technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of American Sierra Gold. In general, you should focus on analyzing American Pink Sheet price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

American Sierra Predictive Forecast Models

American Sierra's time-series forecasting models is one of many American Sierra's pink sheet analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary American Sierra's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the pink sheet market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about American Sierra Gold

Checking the ongoing alerts about American Sierra for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for American Sierra Gold help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
American Sierra Gold had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days
American Sierra Gold has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock
Net Loss for the year was (970.16 K) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 22 K.
American Sierra Gold currently holds about 482 K in cash with (175.81 K) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.01, which can makes it an attractive takeover target, given it will continue generating positive cash flow.

Additional Tools for American Pink Sheet Analysis

When running American Sierra's price analysis, check to measure American Sierra's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy American Sierra is operating at the current time. Most of American Sierra's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of American Sierra's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move American Sierra's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of American Sierra to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.