Amcap Fund Class Fund Probability of Future Mutual Fund Price Finishing Under 35.38
| AMPCX Fund | USD 36.50 0.19 0.52% |
Amcap |
Amcap Fund Target Price Odds to finish below 35.38
The tendency of Amcap Mutual Fund price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to $ 35.38 or more in 90 days |
| 36.50 | 90 days | 35.38 | about 42.0 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Amcap Fund to drop to $ 35.38 or more in 90 days from now is about 42.0 (This Amcap Fund Class probability density function shows the probability of Amcap Mutual Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Amcap Fund Class price to stay between $ 35.38 and its current price of $36.5 at the end of the 90-day period is about 44.89 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Amcap Fund has a beta of 0.91. This suggests Amcap Fund Class market returns are sensitive to returns on the market. As the market goes up or down, Amcap Fund is expected to follow. Additionally Amcap Fund Class has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Amcap Fund Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Amcap Fund
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Amcap Fund Class. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the mutual fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the mutual fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Amcap Fund's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Amcap Fund Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Amcap Fund is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Amcap Fund's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Amcap Fund Class, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Amcap Fund within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.04 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.91 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.84 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.06 |
Amcap Fund Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Amcap Fund for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Amcap Fund Class can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| The fund holds about 8.1% of its assets under management (AUM) in cash |
Amcap Fund Technical Analysis
Amcap Fund's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Amcap Mutual Fund technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Amcap Fund Class. In general, you should focus on analyzing Amcap Mutual Fund price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Amcap Fund Predictive Forecast Models
Amcap Fund's time-series forecasting models is one of many Amcap Fund's mutual fund analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Amcap Fund's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the mutual fund market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Amcap Fund Class
Checking the ongoing alerts about Amcap Fund for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Amcap Fund Class help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| The fund holds about 8.1% of its assets under management (AUM) in cash |
Other Information on Investing in Amcap Mutual Fund
Amcap Fund financial ratios help investors to determine whether Amcap Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Amcap with respect to the benefits of owning Amcap Fund security.
| Portfolio Rebalancing Analyze risk-adjusted returns against different time horizons to find asset-allocation targets | |
| Economic Indicators Top statistical indicators that provide insights into how an economy is performing |