Amesite Operating Co Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 2.11
| AMST Stock | USD 2.43 0.17 7.52% |
Amesite |
Amesite Operating Target Price Odds to finish below 2.11
The tendency of Amesite Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to $ 2.11 or more in 90 days |
| 2.43 | 90 days | 2.11 | about 1.72 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Amesite Operating to drop to $ 2.11 or more in 90 days from now is about 1.72 (This Amesite Operating Co probability density function shows the probability of Amesite Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Amesite Operating price to stay between $ 2.11 and its current price of $2.43 at the end of the 90-day period is about 35.2 .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days Amesite Operating has a beta of 0.65. This suggests as returns on the market go up, Amesite Operating average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Amesite Operating Co will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Amesite Operating Co has an alpha of 0.0941, implying that it can generate a 0.0941 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Amesite Operating Price Density |
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Predictive Modules for Amesite Operating
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Amesite Operating. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Amesite Operating's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Amesite Operating Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Amesite Operating is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Amesite Operating's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Amesite Operating Co, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Amesite Operating within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.09 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.65 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.18 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.01 |
Amesite Operating Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Amesite Operating for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Amesite Operating can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Amesite Operating had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days | |
| Amesite Operating has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| The company reported the previous year's revenue of 166.88 K. Net Loss for the year was (4.4 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 845.01 K. | |
| Amesite Operating Co currently holds about 7.16 M in cash with (2.81 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.24. | |
| Amesite Operating has a poor financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures | |
| Roughly 29.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders | |
| Latest headline from investing.com: Amesite welcomes new CFO, Sarah Berman |
Amesite Operating Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Amesite Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Amesite Operating's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Amesite Operating's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 2.5 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 2.1 M | |
| Shares Float | 1.9 M |
Amesite Operating Technical Analysis
Amesite Operating's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Amesite Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Amesite Operating Co. In general, you should focus on analyzing Amesite Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Amesite Operating Predictive Forecast Models
Amesite Operating's time-series forecasting models is one of many Amesite Operating's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Amesite Operating's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Amesite Operating
Checking the ongoing alerts about Amesite Operating for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Amesite Operating help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Amesite Operating had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days | |
| Amesite Operating has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| The company reported the previous year's revenue of 166.88 K. Net Loss for the year was (4.4 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 845.01 K. | |
| Amesite Operating Co currently holds about 7.16 M in cash with (2.81 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.24. | |
| Amesite Operating has a poor financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures | |
| Roughly 29.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders | |
| Latest headline from investing.com: Amesite welcomes new CFO, Sarah Berman |
Additional Tools for Amesite Stock Analysis
When running Amesite Operating's price analysis, check to measure Amesite Operating's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Amesite Operating is operating at the current time. Most of Amesite Operating's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Amesite Operating's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Amesite Operating's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Amesite Operating to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.