Ameritrans Capital Corp Preferred Stock Probability of Future Pink Sheet Price Finishing Over 0.0596
| AMTPQ Preferred Stock | USD 0.01 0.00 0.00% |
Ameritrans |
Ameritrans Capital Target Price Odds to finish over 0.0596
The tendency of Ameritrans Pink Sheet price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move over $ 0.06 or more in 90 days |
| 0.01 | 90 days | 0.06 | about 68.33 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Ameritrans Capital to move over $ 0.06 or more in 90 days from now is about 68.33 (This Ameritrans Capital Corp probability density function shows the probability of Ameritrans Pink Sheet to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Ameritrans Capital Corp price to stay between its current price of $ 0.01 and $ 0.06 at the end of the 90-day period is about 20.0 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Ameritrans Capital Corp has a beta of -2.22. This suggests as returns on its benchmark rise, returns on holding Ameritrans Capital Corp are expected to decrease by similarly larger amounts. On the other hand, during market turmoils, Ameritrans Capital is expected to outperform its benchmark. Additionally Ameritrans Capital Corp has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Ameritrans Capital Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Ameritrans Capital
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Ameritrans Capital Corp. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Ameritrans Capital Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Ameritrans Capital is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Ameritrans Capital's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Ameritrans Capital Corp, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Ameritrans Capital within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -1.22 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -2.22 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.07 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.13 |
Ameritrans Capital Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Ameritrans Capital for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Ameritrans Capital Corp can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Ameritrans Capital generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Ameritrans Capital has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| Ameritrans Capital has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock | |
| Ameritrans Capital has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| Ameritrans Capital Corp has accumulated 21.18 M in total debt. Ameritrans Capital Corp has a current ratio of 0.12, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Ameritrans Capital until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Ameritrans Capital's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Ameritrans Capital Corp sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Ameritrans to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Ameritrans Capital's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity. | |
| The entity reported the revenue of 780.12 K. Net Loss for the year was (5.46 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 0. |
Ameritrans Capital Technical Analysis
Ameritrans Capital's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Ameritrans Pink Sheet technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Ameritrans Capital Corp. In general, you should focus on analyzing Ameritrans Pink Sheet price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Ameritrans Capital Predictive Forecast Models
Ameritrans Capital's time-series forecasting models is one of many Ameritrans Capital's pink sheet analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Ameritrans Capital's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the pink sheet market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Ameritrans Capital Corp
Checking the ongoing alerts about Ameritrans Capital for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Ameritrans Capital Corp help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Ameritrans Capital generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Ameritrans Capital has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| Ameritrans Capital has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock | |
| Ameritrans Capital has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| Ameritrans Capital Corp has accumulated 21.18 M in total debt. Ameritrans Capital Corp has a current ratio of 0.12, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Ameritrans Capital until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Ameritrans Capital's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Ameritrans Capital Corp sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Ameritrans to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Ameritrans Capital's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity. | |
| The entity reported the revenue of 780.12 K. Net Loss for the year was (5.46 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 0. |
Additional Tools for Ameritrans Pink Sheet Analysis
When running Ameritrans Capital's price analysis, check to measure Ameritrans Capital's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Ameritrans Capital is operating at the current time. Most of Ameritrans Capital's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Ameritrans Capital's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Ameritrans Capital's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Ameritrans Capital to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.