Afine Investments (South Africa) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 398.54

ANI Stock   450.00  49.00  12.22%   
Afine Investments' future price is the expected price of Afine Investments instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Afine Investments performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Afine Investments Backtesting, Afine Investments Valuation, Afine Investments Correlation, Afine Investments Hype Analysis, Afine Investments Volatility, Afine Investments History as well as Afine Investments Performance.
  
Please specify Afine Investments' target price for which you would like Afine Investments odds to be computed.

Afine Investments Target Price Odds to finish below 398.54

The tendency of Afine Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to drop to  398.54  or more in 90 days
 450.00 90 days 398.54 
about 18.39
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Afine Investments to drop to  398.54  or more in 90 days from now is about 18.39 (This Afine Investments probability density function shows the probability of Afine Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Afine Investments price to stay between  398.54  and its current price of 450.0 at the end of the 90-day period is about 69.79 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Afine Investments has a beta of 0.12. This suggests as returns on the market go up, Afine Investments average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Afine Investments will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Afine Investments has an alpha of 0.1834, implying that it can generate a 0.18 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Afine Investments Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Afine Investments

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Afine Investments. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
448.06450.00451.94
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
398.56400.50495.00
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
456.06458.00459.95
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
373.25406.29439.33
Details

Afine Investments Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Afine Investments is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Afine Investments' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Afine Investments, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Afine Investments within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.18
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.12
σ
Overall volatility
24.66
Ir
Information ratio 0.03

Afine Investments Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Afine Investments for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Afine Investments can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
About 76.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders

Afine Investments Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Afine Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Afine Investments' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Afine Investments' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding64 M

Afine Investments Technical Analysis

Afine Investments' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Afine Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Afine Investments. In general, you should focus on analyzing Afine Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Afine Investments Predictive Forecast Models

Afine Investments' time-series forecasting models is one of many Afine Investments' stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Afine Investments' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Afine Investments

Checking the ongoing alerts about Afine Investments for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Afine Investments help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
About 76.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders

Other Information on Investing in Afine Stock

Afine Investments financial ratios help investors to determine whether Afine Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Afine with respect to the benefits of owning Afine Investments security.