ANDREW PELLER (Germany) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 0.49

ANJ Stock   2.64  0.14  5.04%   
ANDREW PELLER's future price is the expected price of ANDREW PELLER instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of ANDREW PELLER LTD performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out ANDREW PELLER Backtesting, ANDREW PELLER Valuation, ANDREW PELLER Correlation, ANDREW PELLER Hype Analysis, ANDREW PELLER Volatility, ANDREW PELLER History as well as ANDREW PELLER Performance.
  
Please specify ANDREW PELLER's target price for which you would like ANDREW PELLER odds to be computed.

ANDREW PELLER Target Price Odds to finish below 0.49

The tendency of ANDREW Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to drop to  0.49  or more in 90 days
 2.64 90 days 0.49 
near 1
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of ANDREW PELLER to drop to  0.49  or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This ANDREW PELLER LTD probability density function shows the probability of ANDREW Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of ANDREW PELLER LTD price to stay between  0.49  and its current price of 2.64 at the end of the 90-day period is about 46.59 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon ANDREW PELLER LTD has a beta of -0.16. This suggests as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding ANDREW PELLER are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, ANDREW PELLER LTD is likely to outperform the market. Additionally ANDREW PELLER LTD has an alpha of 0.1024, implying that it can generate a 0.1 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   ANDREW PELLER Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for ANDREW PELLER

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as ANDREW PELLER LTD. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.512.644.77
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.532.664.79
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
0.622.754.88
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
2.562.662.76
Details

ANDREW PELLER Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. ANDREW PELLER is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the ANDREW PELLER's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold ANDREW PELLER LTD, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of ANDREW PELLER within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.10
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.16
σ
Overall volatility
0.12
Ir
Information ratio -0.02

ANDREW PELLER Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of ANDREW PELLER for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for ANDREW PELLER LTD can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
ANDREW PELLER LTD has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years
About 15.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders

ANDREW PELLER Technical Analysis

ANDREW PELLER's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. ANDREW Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of ANDREW PELLER LTD. In general, you should focus on analyzing ANDREW Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

ANDREW PELLER Predictive Forecast Models

ANDREW PELLER's time-series forecasting models is one of many ANDREW PELLER's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary ANDREW PELLER's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about ANDREW PELLER LTD

Checking the ongoing alerts about ANDREW PELLER for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for ANDREW PELLER LTD help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
ANDREW PELLER LTD has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years
About 15.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders

Other Information on Investing in ANDREW Stock

ANDREW PELLER financial ratios help investors to determine whether ANDREW Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in ANDREW with respect to the benefits of owning ANDREW PELLER security.