Austindo Nusantara (Indonesia) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 733.74
| ANJT Stock | IDR 735.00 5.00 0.68% |
Austindo |
Austindo Nusantara Target Price Odds to finish below 733.74
The tendency of Austindo Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to 733.74 or more in 90 days |
| 735.00 | 90 days | 733.74 | about 79.73 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Austindo Nusantara to drop to 733.74 or more in 90 days from now is about 79.73 (This Austindo Nusantara Jaya probability density function shows the probability of Austindo Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Austindo Nusantara Jaya price to stay between 733.74 and its current price of 735.0 at the end of the 90-day period is about 1.71 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Austindo Nusantara Jaya has a beta of -0.24. This suggests as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Austindo Nusantara are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Austindo Nusantara Jaya is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Austindo Nusantara Jaya has an alpha of 0.1446, implying that it can generate a 0.14 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Austindo Nusantara Price Density |
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Predictive Modules for Austindo Nusantara
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Austindo Nusantara Jaya. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Austindo Nusantara Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Austindo Nusantara is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Austindo Nusantara's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Austindo Nusantara Jaya, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Austindo Nusantara within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.14 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.24 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 20.01 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.0024 |
Austindo Nusantara Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Austindo Nusantara for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Austindo Nusantara Jaya can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| About 91.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders |
Austindo Nusantara Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Austindo Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Austindo Nusantara's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Austindo Nusantara's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 3.3 B | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 27.6 M |
Austindo Nusantara Technical Analysis
Austindo Nusantara's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Austindo Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Austindo Nusantara Jaya. In general, you should focus on analyzing Austindo Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Austindo Nusantara Predictive Forecast Models
Austindo Nusantara's time-series forecasting models is one of many Austindo Nusantara's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Austindo Nusantara's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Austindo Nusantara Jaya
Checking the ongoing alerts about Austindo Nusantara for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Austindo Nusantara Jaya help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| About 91.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders |
Other Information on Investing in Austindo Stock
Austindo Nusantara financial ratios help investors to determine whether Austindo Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Austindo with respect to the benefits of owning Austindo Nusantara security.