Annexin Pharmaceuticals (Sweden) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 14.46

ANNX Stock  SEK 0.43  0.01  2.27%   
Annexin Pharmaceuticals' future price is the expected price of Annexin Pharmaceuticals instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Annexin Pharmaceuticals AB performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Annexin Pharmaceuticals Backtesting, Annexin Pharmaceuticals Valuation, Annexin Pharmaceuticals Correlation, Annexin Pharmaceuticals Hype Analysis, Annexin Pharmaceuticals Volatility, Annexin Pharmaceuticals History as well as Annexin Pharmaceuticals Performance.
  
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Annexin Pharmaceuticals Target Price Odds to finish over 14.46

The tendency of Annexin Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move over kr 14.46  or more in 90 days
 0.43 90 days 14.46 
close to zero percent
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Annexin Pharmaceuticals to move over kr 14.46  or more in 90 days from now is close to zero percent (This Annexin Pharmaceuticals AB probability density function shows the probability of Annexin Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Annexin Pharmaceuticals price to stay between its current price of kr 0.43  and kr 14.46  at the end of the 90-day period is about 98.0 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Annexin Pharmaceuticals has a beta of 0.39. This suggests as returns on the market go up, Annexin Pharmaceuticals average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Annexin Pharmaceuticals AB will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Annexin Pharmaceuticals AB has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Annexin Pharmaceuticals Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Annexin Pharmaceuticals

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Annexin Pharmaceuticals. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.020.435.01
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.020.404.98
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
0.010.425.00
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
0.440.490.55
Details

Annexin Pharmaceuticals Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Annexin Pharmaceuticals is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Annexin Pharmaceuticals' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Annexin Pharmaceuticals AB, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Annexin Pharmaceuticals within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.15
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.39
σ
Overall volatility
0.04
Ir
Information ratio -0.05

Annexin Pharmaceuticals Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Annexin Pharmaceuticals for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Annexin Pharmaceuticals can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Annexin Pharmaceuticals generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Annexin Pharmaceuticals has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock
Annexin Pharmaceuticals has high historical volatility and very poor performance
Annexin Pharmaceuticals has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years
Net Loss for the year was (52.14 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 0.
Annexin Pharmaceuticals AB has accumulated about 22.77 M in cash with (45.02 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 1.29, which can makes it an attractive takeover target, given it will continue generating positive cash flow.
Roughly 45.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders

Annexin Pharmaceuticals Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Annexin Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Annexin Pharmaceuticals' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Annexin Pharmaceuticals' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding92.3 M
Cash And Short Term Investments49.5 M

Annexin Pharmaceuticals Technical Analysis

Annexin Pharmaceuticals' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Annexin Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Annexin Pharmaceuticals AB. In general, you should focus on analyzing Annexin Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Annexin Pharmaceuticals Predictive Forecast Models

Annexin Pharmaceuticals' time-series forecasting models is one of many Annexin Pharmaceuticals' stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Annexin Pharmaceuticals' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Annexin Pharmaceuticals

Checking the ongoing alerts about Annexin Pharmaceuticals for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Annexin Pharmaceuticals help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Annexin Pharmaceuticals generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Annexin Pharmaceuticals has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock
Annexin Pharmaceuticals has high historical volatility and very poor performance
Annexin Pharmaceuticals has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years
Net Loss for the year was (52.14 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 0.
Annexin Pharmaceuticals AB has accumulated about 22.77 M in cash with (45.02 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 1.29, which can makes it an attractive takeover target, given it will continue generating positive cash flow.
Roughly 45.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders

Additional Tools for Annexin Stock Analysis

When running Annexin Pharmaceuticals' price analysis, check to measure Annexin Pharmaceuticals' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Annexin Pharmaceuticals is operating at the current time. Most of Annexin Pharmaceuticals' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Annexin Pharmaceuticals' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Annexin Pharmaceuticals' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Annexin Pharmaceuticals to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.