Anoto Group (Sweden) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 0.16

ANOT Stock  SEK 0.20  0.01  5.26%   
Anoto Group's future price is the expected price of Anoto Group instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Anoto Group AB performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Anoto Group Backtesting, Anoto Group Valuation, Anoto Group Correlation, Anoto Group Hype Analysis, Anoto Group Volatility, Anoto Group History as well as Anoto Group Performance.
  
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Anoto Group Target Price Odds to finish below 0.16

The tendency of Anoto Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to drop to kr 0.16  or more in 90 days
 0.20 90 days 0.16 
about 6.16
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Anoto Group to drop to kr 0.16  or more in 90 days from now is about 6.16 (This Anoto Group AB probability density function shows the probability of Anoto Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Anoto Group AB price to stay between kr 0.16  and its current price of kr0.2 at the end of the 90-day period is about 31.71 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Anoto Group AB has a beta of -0.1. This suggests as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Anoto Group are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Anoto Group AB is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Anoto Group AB has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Anoto Group Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Anoto Group

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Anoto Group AB. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.010.205.77
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.010.175.74
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
00.245.81
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
0.190.200.21
Details

Anoto Group Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Anoto Group is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Anoto Group's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Anoto Group AB, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Anoto Group within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.12
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.1
σ
Overall volatility
0.03
Ir
Information ratio -0.04

Anoto Group Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Anoto Group for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Anoto Group AB can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Anoto Group AB had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days
Anoto Group AB has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock
Anoto Group AB has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years
The company has a current ratio of 0.82, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Anoto Group until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Anoto Group's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Anoto Group AB sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Anoto to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Anoto Group's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity.
Anoto Group AB reported the revenue of 71.73 M. Net Loss for the year was (33.56 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 38.58 M.
Anoto Group AB has accumulated about 3.88 M in cash with (39.02 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.02.
Roughly 14.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders

Anoto Group Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Anoto Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Anoto Group's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Anoto Group's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding196.2 M
Cash And Short Term Investments3.9 M

Anoto Group Technical Analysis

Anoto Group's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Anoto Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Anoto Group AB. In general, you should focus on analyzing Anoto Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Anoto Group Predictive Forecast Models

Anoto Group's time-series forecasting models is one of many Anoto Group's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Anoto Group's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Anoto Group AB

Checking the ongoing alerts about Anoto Group for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Anoto Group AB help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Anoto Group AB had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days
Anoto Group AB has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock
Anoto Group AB has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years
The company has a current ratio of 0.82, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Anoto Group until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Anoto Group's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Anoto Group AB sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Anoto to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Anoto Group's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity.
Anoto Group AB reported the revenue of 71.73 M. Net Loss for the year was (33.56 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 38.58 M.
Anoto Group AB has accumulated about 3.88 M in cash with (39.02 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.02.
Roughly 14.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders

Additional Tools for Anoto Stock Analysis

When running Anoto Group's price analysis, check to measure Anoto Group's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Anoto Group is operating at the current time. Most of Anoto Group's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Anoto Group's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Anoto Group's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Anoto Group to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.