Airnet Technology Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 0
| ANTE Stock | USD 0.49 0.04 7.55% |
Airnet |
Airnet Technology Target Price Odds to finish below 0
The tendency of Airnet Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to $ 0.00 or more in 90 days |
| 0.49 | 90 days | 0.00 | near 1 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Airnet Technology to drop to $ 0.00 or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Airnet Technology probability density function shows the probability of Airnet Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Airnet Technology price to stay between $ 0.00 and its current price of $0.49 at the end of the 90-day period is about 77.76 .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days the stock has the beta coefficient of 1.01 . This suggests Airnet Technology market returns are highly-sensitive to returns on the market. As the market goes up or down, Airnet Technology is expected to follow. Moreover Airnet Technology has an alpha of 1.0722, implying that it can generate a 1.07 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Airnet Technology Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Airnet Technology
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Airnet Technology. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Airnet Technology's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Airnet Technology Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Airnet Technology is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Airnet Technology's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Airnet Technology, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Airnet Technology within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 1.07 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 1.01 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.13 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.12 |
Airnet Technology Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Airnet Technology for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Airnet Technology can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Airnet Technology is way too risky over 90 days horizon | |
| Airnet Technology has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock | |
| Airnet Technology appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues | |
| Airnet Technology currently holds 6 K in liabilities with Debt to Equity (D/E) ratio of 0.53, which is about average as compared to similar companies. Airnet Technology has a current ratio of 0.71, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations when due. Note, when we think about Airnet Technology's use of debt, we should always consider it together with its cash and equity. | |
| The entity reported the previous year's revenue of 845 K. Net Loss for the year was (574 K) with loss before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of (3.1 M). | |
| Airnet Technology currently holds about 5.73 M in cash with (1.73 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.16. | |
| Airnet Technology has a very weak financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures | |
| Latest headline from gurufocus.com: ANTE Stock Surges Over 9 percent Amid Market Activity |
Airnet Technology Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Airnet Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Airnet Technology's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Airnet Technology's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 6.6 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 407 K |
Airnet Technology Technical Analysis
Airnet Technology's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Airnet Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Airnet Technology. In general, you should focus on analyzing Airnet Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Airnet Technology Predictive Forecast Models
Airnet Technology's time-series forecasting models is one of many Airnet Technology's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Airnet Technology's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Airnet Technology
Checking the ongoing alerts about Airnet Technology for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Airnet Technology help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Airnet Technology is way too risky over 90 days horizon | |
| Airnet Technology has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock | |
| Airnet Technology appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues | |
| Airnet Technology currently holds 6 K in liabilities with Debt to Equity (D/E) ratio of 0.53, which is about average as compared to similar companies. Airnet Technology has a current ratio of 0.71, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations when due. Note, when we think about Airnet Technology's use of debt, we should always consider it together with its cash and equity. | |
| The entity reported the previous year's revenue of 845 K. Net Loss for the year was (574 K) with loss before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of (3.1 M). | |
| Airnet Technology currently holds about 5.73 M in cash with (1.73 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.16. | |
| Airnet Technology has a very weak financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures | |
| Latest headline from gurufocus.com: ANTE Stock Surges Over 9 percent Amid Market Activity |
Check out Airnet Technology Backtesting, Airnet Technology Valuation, Airnet Technology Correlation, Airnet Technology Hype Analysis, Airnet Technology Volatility, Airnet Technology History as well as Airnet Technology Performance. For information on how to trade Airnet Stock refer to our How to Trade Airnet Stock guide.You can also try the Idea Optimizer module to use advanced portfolio builder with pre-computed micro ideas to build optimal portfolio .
Is Advertising space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Airnet Technology. If investors know Airnet will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Airnet Technology listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Earnings Share 3.52 | Revenue Per Share 0.057 | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.64) | Return On Assets (0.03) | Return On Equity (16.31) |
The market value of Airnet Technology is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Airnet that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Airnet Technology's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Airnet Technology's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Airnet Technology's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Airnet Technology's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Airnet Technology's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Airnet Technology is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Airnet Technology's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.