Aena Sme Sa Stock Odds of Future Pink Sheet Price Finishing Under 20.58
| ANYYY Stock | USD 20.95 0.15 0.71% |
Aena |
Aena SME Target Price Odds to finish below 20.58
The tendency of Aena Pink Sheet price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to $ 20.58 or more in 90 days |
| 20.95 | 90 days | 20.58 | about 19.2 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Aena SME to drop to $ 20.58 or more in 90 days from now is about 19.2 (This Aena SME SA probability density function shows the probability of Aena Pink Sheet to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Aena SME SA price to stay between $ 20.58 and its current price of $20.95 at the end of the 90-day period is about 13.49 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Aena SME has a beta of 0.066. This suggests as returns on the market go up, Aena SME average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Aena SME SA will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Aena SME SA has an alpha of 0.0909, implying that it can generate a 0.0909 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Aena SME Price Density |
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Predictive Modules for Aena SME
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Aena SME SA. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Aena SME's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Aena SME Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Aena SME is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Aena SME's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Aena SME SA, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Aena SME within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.09 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.07 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.88 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.02 |
Aena SME Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Aena SME for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Aena SME SA can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Aena SME SA has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| The company reported the revenue of 2.32 B. Net Loss for the year was (60.04 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 1.71 B. |
Aena SME Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Aena Pink Sheet often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Aena SME's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Aena SME's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 150 M |
Aena SME Technical Analysis
Aena SME's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Aena Pink Sheet technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Aena SME SA. In general, you should focus on analyzing Aena Pink Sheet price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Aena SME Predictive Forecast Models
Aena SME's time-series forecasting models is one of many Aena SME's pink sheet analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Aena SME's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the pink sheet market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Aena SME SA
Checking the ongoing alerts about Aena SME for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Aena SME SA help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Aena SME SA has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| The company reported the revenue of 2.32 B. Net Loss for the year was (60.04 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 1.71 B. |
Additional Tools for Aena Pink Sheet Analysis
When running Aena SME's price analysis, check to measure Aena SME's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Aena SME is operating at the current time. Most of Aena SME's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Aena SME's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Aena SME's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Aena SME to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.