ActiveOps PLC (UK) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 112.50

AOM Stock   112.50  2.50  2.27%   
ActiveOps PLC's future price is the expected price of ActiveOps PLC instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of ActiveOps PLC performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out ActiveOps PLC Backtesting, ActiveOps PLC Valuation, ActiveOps PLC Correlation, ActiveOps PLC Hype Analysis, ActiveOps PLC Volatility, ActiveOps PLC History as well as ActiveOps PLC Performance.
  
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ActiveOps PLC Target Price Odds to finish over 112.50

The tendency of ActiveOps Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 112.50 90 days 112.50 
about 87.71
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of ActiveOps PLC to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 87.71 (This ActiveOps PLC probability density function shows the probability of ActiveOps Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon ActiveOps PLC has a beta of -0.0927. This suggests as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding ActiveOps PLC are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, ActiveOps PLC is likely to outperform the market. Additionally ActiveOps PLC has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   ActiveOps PLC Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for ActiveOps PLC

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as ActiveOps PLC. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
110.22112.50114.78
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
96.4298.70123.75
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
112.38114.67116.95
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
-1.07-1.01-0.95
Details

ActiveOps PLC Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. ActiveOps PLC is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the ActiveOps PLC's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold ActiveOps PLC, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of ActiveOps PLC within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.25
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.09
σ
Overall volatility
7.85
Ir
Information ratio -0.16

ActiveOps PLC Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of ActiveOps PLC for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for ActiveOps PLC can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
ActiveOps PLC generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
ActiveOps PLC is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years
About 64.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies
Latest headline from news.google.com: ActiveOps plc Executive Chair Acquires Shares - TipRanks

ActiveOps PLC Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of ActiveOps Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential ActiveOps PLC's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. ActiveOps PLC's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding77.9 M
Cash And Short Term Investments17.6 M

ActiveOps PLC Technical Analysis

ActiveOps PLC's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. ActiveOps Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of ActiveOps PLC. In general, you should focus on analyzing ActiveOps Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

ActiveOps PLC Predictive Forecast Models

ActiveOps PLC's time-series forecasting models is one of many ActiveOps PLC's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary ActiveOps PLC's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about ActiveOps PLC

Checking the ongoing alerts about ActiveOps PLC for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for ActiveOps PLC help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
ActiveOps PLC generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
ActiveOps PLC is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years
About 64.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies
Latest headline from news.google.com: ActiveOps plc Executive Chair Acquires Shares - TipRanks

Other Information on Investing in ActiveOps Stock

ActiveOps PLC financial ratios help investors to determine whether ActiveOps Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in ActiveOps with respect to the benefits of owning ActiveOps PLC security.