Aot Growth And Etf Probability of Future Etf Price Finishing Under 35.04

AOTG Etf  USD 46.62  0.37  0.79%   
AOT Growth's future price is the expected price of AOT Growth instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of AOT Growth and performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out AOT Growth Backtesting, Portfolio Optimization, AOT Growth Correlation, AOT Growth Hype Analysis, AOT Growth Volatility, AOT Growth History as well as AOT Growth Performance.
  
Please specify AOT Growth's target price for which you would like AOT Growth odds to be computed.

AOT Growth Target Price Odds to finish below 35.04

The tendency of AOT Etf price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to drop to $ 35.04  or more in 90 days
 46.62 90 days 35.04 
near 1
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of AOT Growth to drop to $ 35.04  or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This AOT Growth and probability density function shows the probability of AOT Etf to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of AOT Growth price to stay between $ 35.04  and its current price of $46.62 at the end of the 90-day period is about 90.2 .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days AOT Growth has a beta of 0.95. This suggests AOT Growth and market returns are reactive to returns on the market. As the market goes up or down, AOT Growth is expected to follow. Additionally AOT Growth and has an alpha of 0.184, implying that it can generate a 0.18 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   AOT Growth Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for AOT Growth

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as AOT Growth. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the etf market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the etf market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of AOT Growth's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
45.5746.6247.67
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
41.9650.0351.08
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
45.6046.6547.71
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
41.6945.1948.69
Details

AOT Growth Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. AOT Growth is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the AOT Growth's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold AOT Growth and, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of AOT Growth within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.18
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.95
σ
Overall volatility
2.50
Ir
Information ratio 0.16

AOT Growth Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of AOT Growth for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for AOT Growth can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
The fund holds 99.87% of its assets under management (AUM) in equities

AOT Growth Technical Analysis

AOT Growth's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. AOT Etf technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of AOT Growth and. In general, you should focus on analyzing AOT Etf price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

AOT Growth Predictive Forecast Models

AOT Growth's time-series forecasting models is one of many AOT Growth's etf analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary AOT Growth's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the etf market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about AOT Growth

Checking the ongoing alerts about AOT Growth for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for AOT Growth help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
The fund holds 99.87% of its assets under management (AUM) in equities
When determining whether AOT Growth is a strong investment it is important to analyze AOT Growth's competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact AOT Growth's future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding AOT Etf, refer to the following important reports:
Check out AOT Growth Backtesting, Portfolio Optimization, AOT Growth Correlation, AOT Growth Hype Analysis, AOT Growth Volatility, AOT Growth History as well as AOT Growth Performance.
You can also try the Portfolio Manager module to state of the art Portfolio Manager to monitor and improve performance of your invested capital.
The market value of AOT Growth is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of AOT that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of AOT Growth's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is AOT Growth's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because AOT Growth's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect AOT Growth's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between AOT Growth's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if AOT Growth is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, AOT Growth's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.