Angel Oak Ultrashort Fund Probability of Future Mutual Fund Price Finishing Under 9.71
| AOUNX Fund | USD 9.82 0.00 0.00% |
Angel |
Angel Oak Target Price Odds to finish below 9.71
The tendency of Angel Mutual Fund price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to $ 9.71 or more in 90 days |
| 9.82 | 90 days | 9.71 | under 4 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Angel Oak to drop to $ 9.71 or more in 90 days from now is under 4 (This Angel Oak Ultrashort probability density function shows the probability of Angel Mutual Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Angel Oak Ultrashort price to stay between $ 9.71 and its current price of $9.82 at the end of the 90-day period is about 80.42 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Angel Oak Ultrashort has a beta of -0.015. This suggests as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Angel Oak are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Angel Oak Ultrashort is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Angel Oak Ultrashort has an alpha of 0.01, implying that it can generate a 0.009966 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Angel Oak Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Angel Oak
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Angel Oak Ultrashort. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the mutual fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the mutual fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Angel Oak Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Angel Oak is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Angel Oak's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Angel Oak Ultrashort, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Angel Oak within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.01 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.01 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.04 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.73 |
Angel Oak Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Angel Mutual Fund often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Angel Oak's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Angel Oak's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Angel Oak Technical Analysis
Angel Oak's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Angel Mutual Fund technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Angel Oak Ultrashort. In general, you should focus on analyzing Angel Mutual Fund price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Angel Oak Predictive Forecast Models
Angel Oak's time-series forecasting models is one of many Angel Oak's mutual fund analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Angel Oak's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the mutual fund market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Some investors attempt to determine whether the market's mood is bullish or bearish by monitoring changes in market sentiment. Unlike more traditional methods such as technical analysis, investor sentiment usually refers to the aggregate attitude towards Angel Oak in the overall investment community. So, suppose investors can accurately measure the market's sentiment. In that case, they can use it for their benefit. For example, some tools to gauge market sentiment could be utilized using contrarian indexes, Angel Oak's short interest history, or implied volatility extrapolated from Angel Oak options trading.
Other Information on Investing in Angel Mutual Fund
Angel Oak financial ratios help investors to determine whether Angel Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Angel with respect to the benefits of owning Angel Oak security.
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