Advanced Oxygen Technologies Stock Probability of Future Pink Sheet Price Finishing Over 101.31
| AOXY Stock | USD 0.06 0.00 0.00% |
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Advanced Oxygen Target Price Odds to finish over 101.31
The tendency of Advanced Pink Sheet price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move over $ 101.31 or more in 90 days |
| 0.06 | 90 days | 101.31 | close to zero percent |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Advanced Oxygen to move over $ 101.31 or more in 90 days from now is close to zero percent (This Advanced Oxygen Technologies probability density function shows the probability of Advanced Pink Sheet to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Advanced Oxygen Tech price to stay between its current price of $ 0.06 and $ 101.31 at the end of the 90-day period is about 71.79 .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days the pink sheet has the beta coefficient of 16.6 . This suggests as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, Advanced Oxygen will likely underperform. Moreover Advanced Oxygen Technologies has an alpha of 1.9972, implying that it can generate a 2.0 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Advanced Oxygen Price Density |
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Predictive Modules for Advanced Oxygen
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Advanced Oxygen Tech. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Advanced Oxygen's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Advanced Oxygen Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Advanced Oxygen is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Advanced Oxygen's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Advanced Oxygen Technologies, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Advanced Oxygen within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 2.00 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 16.60 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.05 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.11 |
Advanced Oxygen Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Advanced Oxygen for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Advanced Oxygen Tech can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Advanced Oxygen Tech is way too risky over 90 days horizon | |
| Advanced Oxygen Tech has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock | |
| Advanced Oxygen Tech appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues | |
| Advanced Oxygen Technologies currently holds 134.01 K in liabilities with Debt to Equity (D/E) ratio of 0.52, which is about average as compared to similar companies. Advanced Oxygen Tech has a current ratio of 0.25, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations when due. Debt can assist Advanced Oxygen until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Advanced Oxygen's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Advanced Oxygen Tech sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Advanced to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Advanced Oxygen's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity. | |
| About 67.0% of Advanced Oxygen shares are held by company insiders |
Advanced Oxygen Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Advanced Pink Sheet often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Advanced Oxygen's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Advanced Oxygen's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 3.3 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 94.2 K |
Advanced Oxygen Technical Analysis
Advanced Oxygen's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Advanced Pink Sheet technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Advanced Oxygen Technologies. In general, you should focus on analyzing Advanced Pink Sheet price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Advanced Oxygen Predictive Forecast Models
Advanced Oxygen's time-series forecasting models is one of many Advanced Oxygen's pink sheet analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Advanced Oxygen's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the pink sheet market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Advanced Oxygen Tech
Checking the ongoing alerts about Advanced Oxygen for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Advanced Oxygen Tech help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Advanced Oxygen Tech is way too risky over 90 days horizon | |
| Advanced Oxygen Tech has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock | |
| Advanced Oxygen Tech appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues | |
| Advanced Oxygen Technologies currently holds 134.01 K in liabilities with Debt to Equity (D/E) ratio of 0.52, which is about average as compared to similar companies. Advanced Oxygen Tech has a current ratio of 0.25, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations when due. Debt can assist Advanced Oxygen until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Advanced Oxygen's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Advanced Oxygen Tech sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Advanced to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Advanced Oxygen's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity. | |
| About 67.0% of Advanced Oxygen shares are held by company insiders |
Additional Tools for Advanced Pink Sheet Analysis
When running Advanced Oxygen's price analysis, check to measure Advanced Oxygen's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Advanced Oxygen is operating at the current time. Most of Advanced Oxygen's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Advanced Oxygen's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Advanced Oxygen's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Advanced Oxygen to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.