Aozora Bank Probability of Future OTC Stock Price Finishing Under 19.99
| AOZOFDelisted Stock | USD 19.89 0.00 0.00% |
Aozora |
Aozora Bank Target Price Odds to finish below 19.99
The tendency of Aozora OTC Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay under $ 19.99 after 90 days |
| 19.89 | 90 days | 19.99 | about 1.89 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Aozora Bank to stay under $ 19.99 after 90 days from now is about 1.89 (This Aozora Bank probability density function shows the probability of Aozora OTC Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Aozora Bank price to stay between its current price of $ 19.89 and $ 19.99 at the end of the 90-day period is near 1 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon the otc stock has the beta coefficient of 2.53 . This suggests as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, Aozora Bank will likely underperform. Additionally Aozora Bank has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Aozora Bank Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Aozora Bank
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Aozora Bank. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the otc stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the otc stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Aozora Bank Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Aozora Bank is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Aozora Bank's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Aozora Bank, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Aozora Bank within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -1.05 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 2.53 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 5.82 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.15 |
Aozora Bank Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Aozora Bank for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Aozora Bank can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Aozora Bank is not yet fully synchronised with the market data | |
| Aozora Bank has a very high chance of going through financial distress in the upcoming years |
Aozora Bank Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Aozora OTC Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Aozora Bank's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Aozora Bank's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 116.8 M |
Aozora Bank Technical Analysis
Aozora Bank's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Aozora OTC Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Aozora Bank. In general, you should focus on analyzing Aozora OTC Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Aozora Bank Predictive Forecast Models
Aozora Bank's time-series forecasting models is one of many Aozora Bank's otc stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Aozora Bank's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the otc stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Aozora Bank
Checking the ongoing alerts about Aozora Bank for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Aozora Bank help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Aozora Bank is not yet fully synchronised with the market data | |
| Aozora Bank has a very high chance of going through financial distress in the upcoming years |
Check out Trending Equities to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any otc stock could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in persons. You can also try the Sync Your Broker module to sync your existing holdings, watchlists, positions or portfolios from thousands of online brokerage services, banks, investment account aggregators and robo-advisors..
Other Consideration for investing in Aozora OTC Stock
If you are still planning to invest in Aozora Bank check if it may still be traded through OTC markets such as Pink Sheets or OTC Bulletin Board. You may also purchase it directly from the company, but this is not always possible and may require contacting the company directly. Please note that delisted stocks are often considered to be more risky investments, as they are no longer subject to the same regulatory and reporting requirements as listed stocks. Therefore, it is essential to carefully research the Aozora Bank's history and understand the potential risks before investing.
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