Allied Properties Real Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 13.31
| AP-UN Stock | CAD 18.17 0.03 0.16% |
Allied |
Allied Properties Target Price Odds to finish below 13.31
The tendency of Allied Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to C$ 13.31 or more in 90 days |
| 18.17 | 90 days | 13.31 | near 1 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Allied Properties to drop to C$ 13.31 or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Allied Properties Real probability density function shows the probability of Allied Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Allied Properties Real price to stay between C$ 13.31 and its current price of C$18.17 at the end of the 90-day period is about 28.1 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Allied Properties has a beta of 0.73. This suggests as returns on the market go up, Allied Properties average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Allied Properties Real will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Allied Properties Real has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Allied Properties Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Allied Properties
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Allied Properties Real. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Allied Properties Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Allied Properties is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Allied Properties' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Allied Properties Real, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Allied Properties within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.01 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.73 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 1.07 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.03 |
Allied Properties Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Allied Properties for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Allied Properties Real can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Allied Properties Real has accumulated 3.71 B in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 0.46, which is about average as compared to similar companies. Allied Properties Real has a current ratio of 0.67, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Allied Properties until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Allied Properties' shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Allied Properties Real sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Allied to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Allied Properties' use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity. | |
| The entity reported the revenue of 563.98 M. Net Loss for the year was (425.71 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 282.42 M. | |
| Latest headline from news.google.com: Allied Properties Real Estate Investment Trust Declares Distribution for the Month of November 2024, Payable on December 16, 2024 - Marketscreener.com |
Allied Properties Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Allied Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Allied Properties' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Allied Properties' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 139.8 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 211.1 M |
Allied Properties Technical Analysis
Allied Properties' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Allied Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Allied Properties Real. In general, you should focus on analyzing Allied Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Allied Properties Predictive Forecast Models
Allied Properties' time-series forecasting models is one of many Allied Properties' stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Allied Properties' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Allied Properties Real
Checking the ongoing alerts about Allied Properties for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Allied Properties Real help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Allied Properties Real has accumulated 3.71 B in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 0.46, which is about average as compared to similar companies. Allied Properties Real has a current ratio of 0.67, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Allied Properties until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Allied Properties' shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Allied Properties Real sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Allied to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Allied Properties' use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity. | |
| The entity reported the revenue of 563.98 M. Net Loss for the year was (425.71 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 282.42 M. | |
| Latest headline from news.google.com: Allied Properties Real Estate Investment Trust Declares Distribution for the Month of November 2024, Payable on December 16, 2024 - Marketscreener.com |
Additional Tools for Allied Stock Analysis
When running Allied Properties' price analysis, check to measure Allied Properties' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Allied Properties is operating at the current time. Most of Allied Properties' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Allied Properties' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Allied Properties' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Allied Properties to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.