Clearfield (Germany) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 26.37

AP7 Stock  EUR 26.37  0.08  0.30%   
Clearfield's future price is the expected price of Clearfield instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Clearfield performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Clearfield Analysis, Clearfield Valuation, Clearfield Correlation, Clearfield Hype Analysis, Clearfield Volatility, Clearfield Price History as well as Clearfield Performance.
For more detail on how to invest in Clearfield Stock please use our How to Invest in Clearfield guide.
  
Please specify Clearfield's target price for which you would like Clearfield odds to be computed.

Clearfield Target Price Odds to finish over 26.37

The tendency of Clearfield Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 26.37 90 days 26.37 
about 40.25
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Clearfield to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 40.25 (This Clearfield probability density function shows the probability of Clearfield Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Clearfield has a beta of -0.16. This suggests as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Clearfield are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Clearfield is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Clearfield has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Clearfield Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Clearfield

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Clearfield. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
22.8126.4430.07
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
18.3321.9629.01
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
0.310.320.33
Details

Clearfield Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Clearfield is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Clearfield's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Clearfield, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Clearfield within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.32
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.16
σ
Overall volatility
1.62
Ir
Information ratio -0.11

Clearfield Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Clearfield for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Clearfield can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Clearfield had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days
The company reported the revenue of 150.13 M. Net Loss for the year was (8.05 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 53.25 M.
About 64.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies
Latest headline from news.google.com: Analysts Offer Insights on Technology Companies Tower and Clearfield - The Globe and Mail

Clearfield Technical Analysis

Clearfield's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Clearfield Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Clearfield. In general, you should focus on analyzing Clearfield Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Clearfield Predictive Forecast Models

Clearfield's time-series forecasting models is one of many Clearfield's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Clearfield's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Clearfield

Checking the ongoing alerts about Clearfield for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Clearfield help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Clearfield had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days
The company reported the revenue of 150.13 M. Net Loss for the year was (8.05 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 53.25 M.
About 64.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies
Latest headline from news.google.com: Analysts Offer Insights on Technology Companies Tower and Clearfield - The Globe and Mail
When determining whether Clearfield is a strong investment it is important to analyze Clearfield's competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact Clearfield's future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding Clearfield Stock, refer to the following important reports:
Check out Clearfield Analysis, Clearfield Valuation, Clearfield Correlation, Clearfield Hype Analysis, Clearfield Volatility, Clearfield Price History as well as Clearfield Performance.
For more detail on how to invest in Clearfield Stock please use our How to Invest in Clearfield guide.
You can also try the Commodity Channel module to use Commodity Channel Index to analyze current equity momentum.
Understanding that Clearfield's value differs from its trading price is crucial, as each reflects different aspects of the company. Evaluating whether Clearfield represents a sound investment requires analyzing earnings trends, revenue growth, technical signals, industry dynamics, and expert forecasts. In contrast, Clearfield's trading price reflects the actual exchange value where willing buyers and sellers reach mutual agreement.