Appia Energy Corp Stock Probability of Future OTC Stock Price Finishing Under 0.0005
| APAAF Stock | USD 0.06 0.01 9.26% |
Appia |
Appia Energy Target Price Odds to finish below 0.0005
The tendency of Appia OTC Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to $ 0.0005 or more in 90 days |
| 0.06 | 90 days | 0.0005 | near 1 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Appia Energy to drop to $ 0.0005 or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Appia Energy Corp probability density function shows the probability of Appia OTC Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Appia Energy Corp price to stay between $ 0.0005 and its current price of $0.059 at the end of the 90-day period is about 19.82 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Appia Energy Corp has a beta of -0.17. This suggests as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Appia Energy are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Appia Energy Corp is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Appia Energy Corp has an alpha of 0.2789, implying that it can generate a 0.28 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Appia Energy Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Appia Energy
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Appia Energy Corp. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the otc stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the otc stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Appia Energy Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Appia Energy is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Appia Energy's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Appia Energy Corp, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Appia Energy within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.28 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.17 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.01 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.02 |
Appia Energy Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Appia Energy for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Appia Energy Corp can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Appia Energy Corp had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days | |
| Appia Energy Corp has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock | |
| Appia Energy Corp has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| Net Loss for the year was (2.44 M) with loss before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of (6.78 K). | |
| Appia Energy Corp has accumulated about 7.83 M in cash with (2.42 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.06, which can makes it an attractive takeover target, given it will continue generating positive cash flow. | |
| Roughly 30.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders |
Appia Energy Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Appia OTC Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Appia Energy's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Appia Energy's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 123.1 M |
Appia Energy Technical Analysis
Appia Energy's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Appia OTC Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Appia Energy Corp. In general, you should focus on analyzing Appia OTC Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Appia Energy Predictive Forecast Models
Appia Energy's time-series forecasting models is one of many Appia Energy's otc stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Appia Energy's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the otc stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Appia Energy Corp
Checking the ongoing alerts about Appia Energy for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Appia Energy Corp help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Appia Energy Corp had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days | |
| Appia Energy Corp has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock | |
| Appia Energy Corp has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| Net Loss for the year was (2.44 M) with loss before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of (6.78 K). | |
| Appia Energy Corp has accumulated about 7.83 M in cash with (2.42 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.06, which can makes it an attractive takeover target, given it will continue generating positive cash flow. | |
| Roughly 30.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders |
Other Information on Investing in Appia OTC Stock
Appia Energy financial ratios help investors to determine whether Appia OTC Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Appia with respect to the benefits of owning Appia Energy security.