Asian Phytoceuticals (Thailand) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 3.20
| APCO Stock | THB 4.86 0.10 2.02% |
Asian |
Asian Phytoceuticals Target Price Odds to finish below 3.20
The tendency of Asian Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to 3.20 or more in 90 days |
| 4.86 | 90 days | 3.20 | near 1 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Asian Phytoceuticals to drop to 3.20 or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Asian Phytoceuticals Public probability density function shows the probability of Asian Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Asian Phytoceuticals price to stay between 3.20 and its current price of 4.86 at the end of the 90-day period is roughly 2.45 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Asian Phytoceuticals Public has a beta of -0.1. This suggests as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Asian Phytoceuticals are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Asian Phytoceuticals Public is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Asian Phytoceuticals Public has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Asian Phytoceuticals Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Asian Phytoceuticals
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Asian Phytoceuticals. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Asian Phytoceuticals Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Asian Phytoceuticals is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Asian Phytoceuticals' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Asian Phytoceuticals Public, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Asian Phytoceuticals within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.29 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.1 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.32 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.22 |
Asian Phytoceuticals Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Asian Phytoceuticals for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Asian Phytoceuticals can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Asian Phytoceuticals generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| About 77.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders |
Asian Phytoceuticals Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Asian Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Asian Phytoceuticals' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Asian Phytoceuticals' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 600 M |
Asian Phytoceuticals Technical Analysis
Asian Phytoceuticals' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Asian Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Asian Phytoceuticals Public. In general, you should focus on analyzing Asian Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Asian Phytoceuticals Predictive Forecast Models
Asian Phytoceuticals' time-series forecasting models is one of many Asian Phytoceuticals' stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Asian Phytoceuticals' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Asian Phytoceuticals
Checking the ongoing alerts about Asian Phytoceuticals for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Asian Phytoceuticals help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Asian Phytoceuticals generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| About 77.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders |
Other Information on Investing in Asian Stock
Asian Phytoceuticals financial ratios help investors to determine whether Asian Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Asian with respect to the benefits of owning Asian Phytoceuticals security.