Apptech Corp Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 3.15
| APCX Stock | USD 0.48 0.04 7.98% |
Apptech |
Apptech Corp Target Price Odds to finish over 3.15
The tendency of Apptech Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move over $ 3.15 or more in 90 days |
| 0.48 | 90 days | 3.15 | close to zero percent |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Apptech Corp to move over $ 3.15 or more in 90 days from now is close to zero percent (This Apptech Corp probability density function shows the probability of Apptech Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Apptech Corp price to stay between its current price of $ 0.48 and $ 3.15 at the end of the 90-day period is about 97.0 .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days the stock has the beta coefficient of 1.44 . This suggests as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, Apptech Corp will likely underperform. Additionally Apptech Corp has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Apptech Corp Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Apptech Corp
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Apptech Corp. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Apptech Corp's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Apptech Corp Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Apptech Corp is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Apptech Corp's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Apptech Corp, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Apptech Corp within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.78 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 1.44 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.11 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.13 |
Apptech Corp Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Apptech Corp for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Apptech Corp can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Apptech Corp generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Apptech Corp has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| Apptech Corp has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock | |
| The company reported the previous year's revenue of 504 K. Net Loss for the year was (18.51 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 230 K. | |
| Apptech Corp currently holds about 7.79 M in cash with (8.86 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.47. | |
| Apptech Corp has a poor financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures | |
| Roughly 14.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders | |
| Latest headline from seekingalpha.com: AppTech Payments reports Q3 results |
Apptech Corp Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Apptech Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Apptech Corp's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Apptech Corp's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 19.1 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 1.3 M |
Apptech Corp Technical Analysis
Apptech Corp's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Apptech Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Apptech Corp. In general, you should focus on analyzing Apptech Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Apptech Corp Predictive Forecast Models
Apptech Corp's time-series forecasting models is one of many Apptech Corp's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Apptech Corp's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Apptech Corp
Checking the ongoing alerts about Apptech Corp for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Apptech Corp help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Apptech Corp generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Apptech Corp has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| Apptech Corp has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock | |
| The company reported the previous year's revenue of 504 K. Net Loss for the year was (18.51 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 230 K. | |
| Apptech Corp currently holds about 7.79 M in cash with (8.86 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.47. | |
| Apptech Corp has a poor financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures | |
| Roughly 14.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders | |
| Latest headline from seekingalpha.com: AppTech Payments reports Q3 results |
Additional Tools for Apptech Stock Analysis
When running Apptech Corp's price analysis, check to measure Apptech Corp's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Apptech Corp is operating at the current time. Most of Apptech Corp's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Apptech Corp's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Apptech Corp's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Apptech Corp to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.