Atlas Engineered Products Stock Probability of Future Pink Sheet Price Finishing Over 1.08
| APEUF Stock | USD 0.77 0.00 0.00% |
Atlas |
Atlas Engineered Target Price Odds to finish over 1.08
The tendency of Atlas Pink Sheet price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move over $ 1.08 or more in 90 days |
| 0.77 | 90 days | 1.08 | roughly 2.65 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Atlas Engineered to move over $ 1.08 or more in 90 days from now is roughly 2.65 (This Atlas Engineered Products probability density function shows the probability of Atlas Pink Sheet to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Atlas Engineered Products price to stay between its current price of $ 0.77 and $ 1.08 at the end of the 90-day period is over 95.4 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Atlas Engineered Products has a beta of -0.12. This suggests as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Atlas Engineered are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Atlas Engineered Products is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Atlas Engineered Products has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Atlas Engineered Price Density |
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Predictive Modules for Atlas Engineered
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Atlas Engineered Products. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Atlas Engineered's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Atlas Engineered Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Atlas Engineered is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Atlas Engineered's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Atlas Engineered Products, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Atlas Engineered within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.25 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.12 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.08 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.11 |
Atlas Engineered Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Atlas Engineered for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Atlas Engineered Products can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Atlas Engineered generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Atlas Engineered has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock | |
| Atlas Engineered has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| About 18.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders |
Atlas Engineered Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Atlas Pink Sheet often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Atlas Engineered's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Atlas Engineered's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 59.5 M |
Atlas Engineered Technical Analysis
Atlas Engineered's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Atlas Pink Sheet technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Atlas Engineered Products. In general, you should focus on analyzing Atlas Pink Sheet price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Atlas Engineered Predictive Forecast Models
Atlas Engineered's time-series forecasting models is one of many Atlas Engineered's pink sheet analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Atlas Engineered's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the pink sheet market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Atlas Engineered Products
Checking the ongoing alerts about Atlas Engineered for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Atlas Engineered Products help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Atlas Engineered generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Atlas Engineered has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock | |
| Atlas Engineered has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| About 18.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders |
Other Information on Investing in Atlas Pink Sheet
Atlas Engineered financial ratios help investors to determine whether Atlas Pink Sheet is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Atlas with respect to the benefits of owning Atlas Engineered security.