APG Securities (Vietnam) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 9,393

APG Stock   9,140  20.00  0.22%   
APG Securities' future price is the expected price of APG Securities instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of APG Securities Joint performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out APG Securities Backtesting, APG Securities Valuation, APG Securities Correlation, APG Securities Hype Analysis, APG Securities Volatility, APG Securities History as well as APG Securities Performance.
  
Please specify APG Securities' target price for which you would like APG Securities odds to be computed.

APG Securities Target Price Odds to finish below 9,393

The tendency of APG Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move below current price in 90 days
 9,140 90 days 9,140 
about 19.04
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of APG Securities to move below current price in 90 days from now is about 19.04 (This APG Securities Joint probability density function shows the probability of APG Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon APG Securities has a beta of 0.0071. This suggests as returns on the market go up, APG Securities average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding APG Securities Joint will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally APG Securities Joint has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   APG Securities Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for APG Securities

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as APG Securities Joint. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
9,1389,1409,142
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
8,1368,13810,054
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
9,2219,2229,224
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
9,1299,1979,265
Details

APG Securities Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. APG Securities is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the APG Securities' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold APG Securities Joint, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of APG Securities within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.4
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.01
σ
Overall volatility
802.79
Ir
Information ratio -0.26

APG Securities Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of APG Securities for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for APG Securities Joint can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
APG Securities Joint generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days

APG Securities Technical Analysis

APG Securities' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. APG Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of APG Securities Joint. In general, you should focus on analyzing APG Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

APG Securities Predictive Forecast Models

APG Securities' time-series forecasting models is one of many APG Securities' stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary APG Securities' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about APG Securities Joint

Checking the ongoing alerts about APG Securities for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for APG Securities Joint help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
APG Securities Joint generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days

Other Information on Investing in APG Stock

APG Securities financial ratios help investors to determine whether APG Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in APG with respect to the benefits of owning APG Securities security.