American Pwr Group Stock Probability of Future Pink Sheet Price Finishing Under 0.0002

APGI Stock  USD 0.02  0.0005  3.13%   
American Pwr's future price is the expected price of American Pwr instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of American Pwr Group performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out American Pwr Backtesting, American Pwr Valuation, American Pwr Correlation, American Pwr Hype Analysis, American Pwr Volatility, American Pwr History as well as American Pwr Performance.
  
Please specify American Pwr's target price for which you would like American Pwr odds to be computed.

American Pwr Target Price Odds to finish below 0.0002

The tendency of American Pink Sheet price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to drop to $ 0.0002  or more in 90 days
 0.02 90 days 0.0002 
near 1
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of American Pwr to drop to $ 0.0002  or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This American Pwr Group probability density function shows the probability of American Pink Sheet to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of American Pwr Group price to stay between $ 0.0002  and its current price of $0.0155 at the end of the 90-day period is about 44.74 .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days American Pwr Group has a beta of -1.5. This suggests as returns on its benchmark rise, returns on holding American Pwr Group are expected to decrease by similarly larger amounts. On the other hand, during market turmoils, American Pwr is expected to outperform its benchmark. Additionally American Pwr Group has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   American Pwr Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for American Pwr

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as American Pwr Group. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.000.029.79
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.000.019.78
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
0.00030.029.78
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
0.010.010.02
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as American Pwr. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against American Pwr's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, American Pwr's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in American Pwr Group.

American Pwr Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. American Pwr is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the American Pwr's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold American Pwr Group, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of American Pwr within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.02
β
Beta against Dow Jones-1.5
σ
Overall volatility
0
Ir
Information ratio -0.03

American Pwr Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of American Pwr for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for American Pwr Group can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
American Pwr Group generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
American Pwr Group has high historical volatility and very poor performance
American Pwr Group has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock
American Pwr Group has a very high chance of going through financial distress in the upcoming years
American Pwr Group currently holds 4.89 M in liabilities. American Pwr Group has a current ratio of 0.25, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations when due. Debt can assist American Pwr until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, American Pwr's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like American Pwr Group sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for American to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about American Pwr's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity.
The entity reported the previous year's revenue of 1.86 M. Net Loss for the year was (7.56 M) with loss before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of (1.19 M).
American Pwr Group currently holds about 212.17 K in cash with (3.85 M) of positive cash flow from operations.
Roughly 43.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders

American Pwr Technical Analysis

American Pwr's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. American Pink Sheet technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of American Pwr Group. In general, you should focus on analyzing American Pink Sheet price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

American Pwr Predictive Forecast Models

American Pwr's time-series forecasting models is one of many American Pwr's pink sheet analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary American Pwr's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the pink sheet market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about American Pwr Group

Checking the ongoing alerts about American Pwr for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for American Pwr Group help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
American Pwr Group generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
American Pwr Group has high historical volatility and very poor performance
American Pwr Group has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock
American Pwr Group has a very high chance of going through financial distress in the upcoming years
American Pwr Group currently holds 4.89 M in liabilities. American Pwr Group has a current ratio of 0.25, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations when due. Debt can assist American Pwr until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, American Pwr's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like American Pwr Group sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for American to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about American Pwr's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity.
The entity reported the previous year's revenue of 1.86 M. Net Loss for the year was (7.56 M) with loss before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of (1.19 M).
American Pwr Group currently holds about 212.17 K in cash with (3.85 M) of positive cash flow from operations.
Roughly 43.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders

Other Information on Investing in American Pink Sheet

American Pwr financial ratios help investors to determine whether American Pink Sheet is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in American with respect to the benefits of owning American Pwr security.