Artisan Mid Cap Fund Probability of Future Mutual Fund Price Finishing Over 46.34

APHMX Fund  USD 48.09  0.71  1.50%   
Artisan Mid's future price is the expected price of Artisan Mid instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Artisan Mid Cap performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Artisan Mid Backtesting, Portfolio Optimization, Artisan Mid Correlation, Artisan Mid Hype Analysis, Artisan Mid Volatility, Artisan Mid History as well as Artisan Mid Performance.
  
Please specify Artisan Mid's target price for which you would like Artisan Mid odds to be computed.

Artisan Mid Target Price Odds to finish over 46.34

The tendency of Artisan Mutual Fund price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to stay above $ 46.34  in 90 days
 48.09 90 days 46.34 
about 12.1
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Artisan Mid to stay above $ 46.34  in 90 days from now is about 12.1 (This Artisan Mid Cap probability density function shows the probability of Artisan Mutual Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Artisan Mid Cap price to stay between $ 46.34  and its current price of $48.09 at the end of the 90-day period is about 11.07 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Artisan Mid has a beta of 0.99. This suggests Artisan Mid Cap market returns are sensitive to returns on the market. As the market goes up or down, Artisan Mid is expected to follow. Additionally Artisan Mid Cap has an alpha of 0.0494, implying that it can generate a 0.0494 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Artisan Mid Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Artisan Mid

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Artisan Mid Cap. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the mutual fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the mutual fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
47.0648.1049.14
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
47.1248.1649.20
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
46.3047.3448.38
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
47.1847.8548.52
Details

Artisan Mid Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Artisan Mid is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Artisan Mid's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Artisan Mid Cap, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Artisan Mid within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.05
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.99
σ
Overall volatility
1.53
Ir
Information ratio 0.05

Artisan Mid Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Artisan Mid for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Artisan Mid Cap can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
The fund generated three year return of -7.0%
Artisan Mid Cap holds 96.63% of its assets under management (AUM) in equities

Artisan Mid Technical Analysis

Artisan Mid's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Artisan Mutual Fund technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Artisan Mid Cap. In general, you should focus on analyzing Artisan Mutual Fund price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Artisan Mid Predictive Forecast Models

Artisan Mid's time-series forecasting models is one of many Artisan Mid's mutual fund analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Artisan Mid's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the mutual fund market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Artisan Mid Cap

Checking the ongoing alerts about Artisan Mid for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Artisan Mid Cap help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
The fund generated three year return of -7.0%
Artisan Mid Cap holds 96.63% of its assets under management (AUM) in equities

Other Information on Investing in Artisan Mutual Fund

Artisan Mid financial ratios help investors to determine whether Artisan Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Artisan with respect to the benefits of owning Artisan Mid security.
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