Pacific Strategic (Indonesia) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 1,030

APIC Stock  IDR 1,015  20.00  1.93%   
Pacific Strategic's future price is the expected price of Pacific Strategic instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Pacific Strategic Financial performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Pacific Strategic Backtesting, Pacific Strategic Valuation, Pacific Strategic Correlation, Pacific Strategic Hype Analysis, Pacific Strategic Volatility, Pacific Strategic History as well as Pacific Strategic Performance.
  
Please specify Pacific Strategic's target price for which you would like Pacific Strategic odds to be computed.

Pacific Strategic Target Price Odds to finish below 1,030

The tendency of Pacific Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move below current price in 90 days
 1,015 90 days 1,015 
near 1
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Pacific Strategic to move below current price in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Pacific Strategic Financial probability density function shows the probability of Pacific Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Pacific Strategic Financial has a beta of -0.24. This suggests as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Pacific Strategic are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Pacific Strategic Financial is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Pacific Strategic Financial has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Pacific Strategic Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Pacific Strategic

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Pacific Strategic. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
1,0141,0151,016
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
870.02871.501,116
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
1,0221,0231,025
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
1,0151,0311,047
Details

Pacific Strategic Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Pacific Strategic is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Pacific Strategic's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Pacific Strategic Financial, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Pacific Strategic within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.04
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.24
σ
Overall volatility
17.44
Ir
Information ratio -0.13

Pacific Strategic Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Pacific Strategic for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Pacific Strategic can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Pacific Strategic generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
About 37.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders

Pacific Strategic Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Pacific Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Pacific Strategic's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Pacific Strategic's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding11.8 B
Cash And Short Term Investments750 B

Pacific Strategic Technical Analysis

Pacific Strategic's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Pacific Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Pacific Strategic Financial. In general, you should focus on analyzing Pacific Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Pacific Strategic Predictive Forecast Models

Pacific Strategic's time-series forecasting models is one of many Pacific Strategic's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Pacific Strategic's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Pacific Strategic

Checking the ongoing alerts about Pacific Strategic for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Pacific Strategic help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Pacific Strategic generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
About 37.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders

Other Information on Investing in Pacific Stock

Pacific Strategic financial ratios help investors to determine whether Pacific Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Pacific with respect to the benefits of owning Pacific Strategic security.