Applied Blockchain Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 9.73
| APLD Stock | USD 9.66 0.08 0.82% |
Applied |
Applied Blockchain Target Price Odds to finish over 9.73
The tendency of Applied Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move over $ 9.73 or more in 90 days |
| 9.66 | 90 days | 9.73 | about 5.02 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Applied Blockchain to move over $ 9.73 or more in 90 days from now is about 5.02 (This Applied Blockchain probability density function shows the probability of Applied Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Applied Blockchain price to stay between its current price of $ 9.66 and $ 9.73 at the end of the 90-day period is near 1 .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days the stock has the beta coefficient of 2.83 . This suggests as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, Applied Blockchain will likely underperform. Moreover Applied Blockchain has an alpha of 1.3199, implying that it can generate a 1.32 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Applied Blockchain Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Applied Blockchain
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Applied Blockchain. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Applied Blockchain Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Applied Blockchain is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Applied Blockchain's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Applied Blockchain, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Applied Blockchain within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 1.32 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 2.83 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 1.57 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.13 |
Applied Blockchain Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Applied Blockchain for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Applied Blockchain can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Applied Blockchain is way too risky over 90 days horizon | |
| Applied Blockchain appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues | |
| Applied Blockchain currently holds 427.81 M in liabilities with Debt to Equity (D/E) ratio of 0.28, which may suggest the company is not taking enough advantage from borrowing. Applied Blockchain has a current ratio of 0.85, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations when due. Note, when we think about Applied Blockchain's use of debt, we should always consider it together with its cash and equity. | |
| The entity reported the previous year's revenue of 165.57 M. Net Loss for the year was (149.27 M) with loss before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of (957 K). | |
| About 64.0% of Applied Blockchain shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies | |
| Latest headline from gurufocus.com: Applied Digital Corp Shares Gap Down to 10.21 on Nov 26 |
Applied Blockchain Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Applied Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Applied Blockchain's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Applied Blockchain's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 114.1 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 3.3 M |
Applied Blockchain Technical Analysis
Applied Blockchain's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Applied Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Applied Blockchain. In general, you should focus on analyzing Applied Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Applied Blockchain Predictive Forecast Models
Applied Blockchain's time-series forecasting models is one of many Applied Blockchain's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Applied Blockchain's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Applied Blockchain
Checking the ongoing alerts about Applied Blockchain for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Applied Blockchain help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Applied Blockchain is way too risky over 90 days horizon | |
| Applied Blockchain appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues | |
| Applied Blockchain currently holds 427.81 M in liabilities with Debt to Equity (D/E) ratio of 0.28, which may suggest the company is not taking enough advantage from borrowing. Applied Blockchain has a current ratio of 0.85, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations when due. Note, when we think about Applied Blockchain's use of debt, we should always consider it together with its cash and equity. | |
| The entity reported the previous year's revenue of 165.57 M. Net Loss for the year was (149.27 M) with loss before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of (957 K). | |
| About 64.0% of Applied Blockchain shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies | |
| Latest headline from gurufocus.com: Applied Digital Corp Shares Gap Down to 10.21 on Nov 26 |
Check out Applied Blockchain Backtesting, Applied Blockchain Valuation, Applied Blockchain Correlation, Applied Blockchain Hype Analysis, Applied Blockchain Volatility, Applied Blockchain History as well as Applied Blockchain Performance. For information on how to trade Applied Stock refer to our How to Trade Applied Stock guide.You can also try the Idea Breakdown module to analyze constituents of all Macroaxis ideas. Macroaxis investment ideas are predefined, sector-focused investing themes.
Is Application Software space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Applied Blockchain. If investors know Applied will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Applied Blockchain listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Earnings Share (1.23) | Revenue Per Share 1.505 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.671 | Return On Assets (0.09) | Return On Equity (0.67) |
The market value of Applied Blockchain is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Applied that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Applied Blockchain's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Applied Blockchain's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Applied Blockchain's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Applied Blockchain's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Applied Blockchain's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Applied Blockchain is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Applied Blockchain's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.