Agung Podomoro (Indonesia) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 102.42
| APLN Stock | IDR 102.00 1.00 0.97% |
Agung |
Agung Podomoro Target Price Odds to finish below 102.42
The tendency of Agung Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay under 102.42 after 90 days |
| 102.00 | 90 days | 102.42 | roughly 2.21 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Agung Podomoro to stay under 102.42 after 90 days from now is roughly 2.21 (This Agung Podomoro Land probability density function shows the probability of Agung Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Agung Podomoro Land price to stay between its current price of 102.00 and 102.42 at the end of the 90-day period is near 1 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Agung Podomoro Land has a beta of -0.7. This suggests as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Agung Podomoro are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Agung Podomoro Land is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Agung Podomoro Land has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Agung Podomoro Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Agung Podomoro
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Agung Podomoro Land. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Agung Podomoro Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Agung Podomoro is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Agung Podomoro's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Agung Podomoro Land, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Agung Podomoro within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.14 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.7 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 10.35 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.12 |
Agung Podomoro Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Agung Podomoro for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Agung Podomoro Land can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Agung Podomoro Land generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| The company reported the revenue of 4.26 T. Net Loss for the year was (650.36 B) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 1.41 T. | |
| About 88.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders |
Agung Podomoro Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Agung Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Agung Podomoro's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Agung Podomoro's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 22.7 B | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 1.1 T |
Agung Podomoro Technical Analysis
Agung Podomoro's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Agung Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Agung Podomoro Land. In general, you should focus on analyzing Agung Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Agung Podomoro Predictive Forecast Models
Agung Podomoro's time-series forecasting models is one of many Agung Podomoro's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Agung Podomoro's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Agung Podomoro Land
Checking the ongoing alerts about Agung Podomoro for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Agung Podomoro Land help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Agung Podomoro Land generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| The company reported the revenue of 4.26 T. Net Loss for the year was (650.36 B) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 1.41 T. | |
| About 88.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders |
Other Information on Investing in Agung Stock
Agung Podomoro financial ratios help investors to determine whether Agung Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Agung with respect to the benefits of owning Agung Podomoro security.