Apollo Bancorp Stock Probability of Future Pink Sheet Price Finishing Over 31.01

APLO Stock  USD 37.00  0.50  1.37%   
Apollo Bancorp's future price is the expected price of Apollo Bancorp instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Apollo Bancorp performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Apollo Bancorp Backtesting, Apollo Bancorp Valuation, Apollo Bancorp Correlation, Apollo Bancorp Hype Analysis, Apollo Bancorp Volatility, Apollo Bancorp History as well as Apollo Bancorp Performance.
  
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Apollo Bancorp Target Price Odds to finish over 31.01

The tendency of Apollo Pink Sheet price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to stay above $ 31.01  in 90 days
 37.00 90 days 31.01 
close to 99
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Apollo Bancorp to stay above $ 31.01  in 90 days from now is close to 99 (This Apollo Bancorp probability density function shows the probability of Apollo Pink Sheet to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Apollo Bancorp price to stay between $ 31.01  and its current price of $37.0 at the end of the 90-day period is about 23.11 .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days Apollo Bancorp has a beta of -0.21. This suggests as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Apollo Bancorp are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Apollo Bancorp is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Apollo Bancorp has an alpha of 0.0841, implying that it can generate a 0.0841 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Apollo Bancorp Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Apollo Bancorp

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Apollo Bancorp. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
35.9637.0038.04
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
29.2430.2840.70
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
36.1737.2238.26
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
36.2036.6037.00
Details

Apollo Bancorp Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Apollo Bancorp is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Apollo Bancorp's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Apollo Bancorp, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Apollo Bancorp within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.08
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.21
σ
Overall volatility
1.47
Ir
Information ratio -0.04

Apollo Bancorp Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Apollo Bancorp for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Apollo Bancorp can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Apollo Bancorp generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days

Apollo Bancorp Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Apollo Pink Sheet often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Apollo Bancorp's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Apollo Bancorp's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Dividends Paid1.1 M
Forward Annual Dividend Rate2.2

Apollo Bancorp Technical Analysis

Apollo Bancorp's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Apollo Pink Sheet technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Apollo Bancorp. In general, you should focus on analyzing Apollo Pink Sheet price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Apollo Bancorp Predictive Forecast Models

Apollo Bancorp's time-series forecasting models is one of many Apollo Bancorp's pink sheet analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Apollo Bancorp's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the pink sheet market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Apollo Bancorp

Checking the ongoing alerts about Apollo Bancorp for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Apollo Bancorp help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Apollo Bancorp generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days

Other Information on Investing in Apollo Pink Sheet

Apollo Bancorp financial ratios help investors to determine whether Apollo Pink Sheet is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Apollo with respect to the benefits of owning Apollo Bancorp security.