Apollo Bancorp Stock Probability of Future Pink Sheet Price Finishing Under 36.5
| APLO Stock | USD 36.50 0.00 0.00% |
Apollo |
Apollo Bancorp Target Price Odds to finish below 36.5
The tendency of Apollo Pink Sheet price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move below current price in 90 days |
| 36.50 | 90 days | 36.50 | about 13.03 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Apollo Bancorp to move below current price in 90 days from now is about 13.03 (This Apollo Bancorp probability density function shows the probability of Apollo Pink Sheet to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days Apollo Bancorp has a beta of -0.2. This suggests as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Apollo Bancorp are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Apollo Bancorp is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Apollo Bancorp has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Apollo Bancorp Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Apollo Bancorp
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Apollo Bancorp. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Apollo Bancorp Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Apollo Bancorp is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Apollo Bancorp's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Apollo Bancorp, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Apollo Bancorp within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.03 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.2 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 1.45 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.1 |
Apollo Bancorp Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Apollo Pink Sheet often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Apollo Bancorp's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Apollo Bancorp's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Dividends Paid | 1.1 M | |
| Forward Annual Dividend Rate | 2.2 |
Apollo Bancorp Technical Analysis
Apollo Bancorp's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Apollo Pink Sheet technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Apollo Bancorp. In general, you should focus on analyzing Apollo Pink Sheet price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Apollo Bancorp Predictive Forecast Models
Apollo Bancorp's time-series forecasting models is one of many Apollo Bancorp's pink sheet analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Apollo Bancorp's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the pink sheet market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Some investors attempt to determine whether the market's mood is bullish or bearish by monitoring changes in market sentiment. Unlike more traditional methods such as technical analysis, investor sentiment usually refers to the aggregate attitude towards Apollo Bancorp in the overall investment community. So, suppose investors can accurately measure the market's sentiment. In that case, they can use it for their benefit. For example, some tools to gauge market sentiment could be utilized using contrarian indexes, Apollo Bancorp's short interest history, or implied volatility extrapolated from Apollo Bancorp options trading.
Other Information on Investing in Apollo Pink Sheet
Apollo Bancorp financial ratios help investors to determine whether Apollo Pink Sheet is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Apollo with respect to the benefits of owning Apollo Bancorp security.