Aqua Power Systems Stock Probability of Future Pink Sheet Price Finishing Under 0.0197
| APSI Stock | USD 0.02 0.0007 2.80% |
Aqua |
Aqua Power Target Price Odds to finish below 0.0197
The tendency of Aqua Pink Sheet price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to $ 0.02 or more in 90 days |
| 0.02 | 90 days | 0.02 | about 61.31 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Aqua Power to drop to $ 0.02 or more in 90 days from now is about 61.31 (This Aqua Power Systems probability density function shows the probability of Aqua Pink Sheet to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Aqua Power Systems price to stay between $ 0.02 and its current price of $0.0243 at the end of the 90-day period is about 30.53 .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days Aqua Power Systems has a beta of -0.83. This suggests as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Aqua Power are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Aqua Power Systems is likely to outperform the market. Moreover Aqua Power Systems has an alpha of 1.0969, implying that it can generate a 1.1 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Aqua Power Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Aqua Power
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Aqua Power Systems. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Aqua Power's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Aqua Power Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Aqua Power is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Aqua Power's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Aqua Power Systems, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Aqua Power within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 1.10 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.83 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.08 |
Aqua Power Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Aqua Power for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Aqua Power Systems can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Aqua Power Systems is way too risky over 90 days horizon | |
| Aqua Power Systems has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock | |
| Aqua Power Systems appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues | |
| Aqua Power Systems currently holds about 97.06 K in cash with (69.22 K) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.01. |
Aqua Power Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Aqua Pink Sheet often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Aqua Power's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Aqua Power's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 554.5 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 130.8 K |
Aqua Power Technical Analysis
Aqua Power's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Aqua Pink Sheet technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Aqua Power Systems. In general, you should focus on analyzing Aqua Pink Sheet price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Aqua Power Predictive Forecast Models
Aqua Power's time-series forecasting models is one of many Aqua Power's pink sheet analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Aqua Power's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the pink sheet market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Aqua Power Systems
Checking the ongoing alerts about Aqua Power for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Aqua Power Systems help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Aqua Power Systems is way too risky over 90 days horizon | |
| Aqua Power Systems has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock | |
| Aqua Power Systems appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues | |
| Aqua Power Systems currently holds about 97.06 K in cash with (69.22 K) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.01. |
Other Information on Investing in Aqua Pink Sheet
Aqua Power financial ratios help investors to determine whether Aqua Pink Sheet is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Aqua with respect to the benefits of owning Aqua Power security.