Agripure Holdings (Thailand) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 2.90
| APURE Stock | THB 4.20 0.04 0.96% |
Agripure |
Agripure Holdings Target Price Odds to finish below 2.90
The tendency of Agripure Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to 2.90 or more in 90 days |
| 4.20 | 90 days | 2.90 | near 1 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Agripure Holdings to drop to 2.90 or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Agripure Holdings Public probability density function shows the probability of Agripure Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Agripure Holdings Public price to stay between 2.90 and its current price of 4.2 at the end of the 90-day period is about 29.22 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Agripure Holdings has a beta of 0.24. This suggests as returns on the market go up, Agripure Holdings average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Agripure Holdings Public will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Agripure Holdings Public has an alpha of 0.0281, implying that it can generate a 0.0281 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Agripure Holdings Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Agripure Holdings
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Agripure Holdings Public. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Agripure Holdings' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Agripure Holdings Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Agripure Holdings is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Agripure Holdings' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Agripure Holdings Public, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Agripure Holdings within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.03 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.24 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.11 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.05 |
Agripure Holdings Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Agripure Holdings for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Agripure Holdings Public can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Agripure Holdings Public has accumulated about 260.38 M in cash with (26.38 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.27. | |
| Roughly 80.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders |
Agripure Holdings Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Agripure Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Agripure Holdings' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Agripure Holdings' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 958.3 M |
Agripure Holdings Technical Analysis
Agripure Holdings' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Agripure Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Agripure Holdings Public. In general, you should focus on analyzing Agripure Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Agripure Holdings Predictive Forecast Models
Agripure Holdings' time-series forecasting models is one of many Agripure Holdings' stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Agripure Holdings' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Agripure Holdings Public
Checking the ongoing alerts about Agripure Holdings for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Agripure Holdings Public help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Agripure Holdings Public has accumulated about 260.38 M in cash with (26.38 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.27. | |
| Roughly 80.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders |
Other Information on Investing in Agripure Stock
Agripure Holdings financial ratios help investors to determine whether Agripure Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Agripure with respect to the benefits of owning Agripure Holdings security.