Asia Pacific Wire Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 12.05
| APWC Stock | USD 1.62 0.01 0.61% |
Asia |
Asia Pacific Target Price Odds to finish over 12.05
The tendency of Asia Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move over $ 12.05 or more in 90 days |
| 1.62 | 90 days | 12.05 | close to zero percent |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Asia Pacific to move over $ 12.05 or more in 90 days from now is close to zero percent (This Asia Pacific Wire probability density function shows the probability of Asia Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Asia Pacific Wire price to stay between its current price of $ 1.62 and $ 12.05 at the end of the 90-day period is about 57.44 .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days Asia Pacific Wire has a beta of -0.53. This suggests as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Asia Pacific are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Asia Pacific Wire is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Asia Pacific Wire has an alpha of 0.2149, implying that it can generate a 0.21 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Asia Pacific Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Asia Pacific
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Asia Pacific Wire. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Asia Pacific's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Asia Pacific Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Asia Pacific is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Asia Pacific's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Asia Pacific Wire, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Asia Pacific within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.21 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.53 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.16 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.01 |
Asia Pacific Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Asia Pacific for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Asia Pacific Wire can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Asia Pacific Wire may become a speculative penny stock | |
| Asia Pacific Wire had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days | |
| Asia Pacific Wire currently holds about 45.03 M in cash with (6.09 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 2.25, which can makes it an attractive takeover target, given it will continue generating positive cash flow. | |
| Asia Pacific Wire has a poor financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures | |
| Roughly 81.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders | |
| Latest headline from gurufocus.com: APWC Stock Dips Amidst Mixed Industry Performance |
Asia Pacific Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Asia Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Asia Pacific's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Asia Pacific's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 20.6 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 38.3 M |
Asia Pacific Technical Analysis
Asia Pacific's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Asia Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Asia Pacific Wire. In general, you should focus on analyzing Asia Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Asia Pacific Predictive Forecast Models
Asia Pacific's time-series forecasting models is one of many Asia Pacific's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Asia Pacific's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Asia Pacific Wire
Checking the ongoing alerts about Asia Pacific for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Asia Pacific Wire help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Asia Pacific Wire may become a speculative penny stock | |
| Asia Pacific Wire had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days | |
| Asia Pacific Wire currently holds about 45.03 M in cash with (6.09 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 2.25, which can makes it an attractive takeover target, given it will continue generating positive cash flow. | |
| Asia Pacific Wire has a poor financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures | |
| Roughly 81.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders | |
| Latest headline from gurufocus.com: APWC Stock Dips Amidst Mixed Industry Performance |
Check out Asia Pacific Backtesting, Asia Pacific Valuation, Asia Pacific Correlation, Asia Pacific Hype Analysis, Asia Pacific Volatility, Asia Pacific History as well as Asia Pacific Performance. You can also try the Headlines Timeline module to stay connected to all market stories and filter out noise. Drill down to analyze hype elasticity.
Is Electrical Components & Equipment space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Asia Pacific. If investors know Asia will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Asia Pacific listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.19) | Earnings Share 0.18 | Revenue Per Share 21.664 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.108 | Return On Assets 0.0113 |
The market value of Asia Pacific Wire is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Asia that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Asia Pacific's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Asia Pacific's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Asia Pacific's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Asia Pacific's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Asia Pacific's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Asia Pacific is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Asia Pacific's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.