Advanced Medical (Germany) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 5.06
| AQA Stock | 2.54 0.02 0.79% |
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Advanced Medical Target Price Odds to finish over 5.06
The tendency of Advanced Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move over 5.06 or more in 90 days |
| 2.54 | 90 days | 5.06 | close to zero percent |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Advanced Medical to move over 5.06 or more in 90 days from now is close to zero percent (This Advanced Medical Solutions probability density function shows the probability of Advanced Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Advanced Medical Sol price to stay between its current price of 2.54 and 5.06 at the end of the 90-day period is about 20.66 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Advanced Medical has a beta of 0.92. This suggests Advanced Medical Solutions market returns are related to returns on the market. As the market goes up or down, Advanced Medical is expected to follow. Additionally Advanced Medical Solutions has an alpha of 0.1344, implying that it can generate a 0.13 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Advanced Medical Price Density |
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Predictive Modules for Advanced Medical
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Advanced Medical Sol. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Advanced Medical's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Advanced Medical Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Advanced Medical is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Advanced Medical's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Advanced Medical Solutions, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Advanced Medical within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.13 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.92 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.11 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.05 |
Advanced Medical Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Advanced Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Advanced Medical's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Advanced Medical's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 216.1 M | |
| Dividend Yield | 0.0064 |
Advanced Medical Technical Analysis
Advanced Medical's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Advanced Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Advanced Medical Solutions. In general, you should focus on analyzing Advanced Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Advanced Medical Predictive Forecast Models
Advanced Medical's time-series forecasting models is one of many Advanced Medical's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Advanced Medical's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Some investors attempt to determine whether the market's mood is bullish or bearish by monitoring changes in market sentiment. Unlike more traditional methods such as technical analysis, investor sentiment usually refers to the aggregate attitude towards Advanced Medical in the overall investment community. So, suppose investors can accurately measure the market's sentiment. In that case, they can use it for their benefit. For example, some tools to gauge market sentiment could be utilized using contrarian indexes, Advanced Medical's short interest history, or implied volatility extrapolated from Advanced Medical options trading.
Additional Tools for Advanced Stock Analysis
When running Advanced Medical's price analysis, check to measure Advanced Medical's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Advanced Medical is operating at the current time. Most of Advanced Medical's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Advanced Medical's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Advanced Medical's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Advanced Medical to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.